000
FZNT25 KNHC 131522
OFFN04

NAVTEX Marine Forecast
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
1122 AM EDT Tue Aug 13 2024

...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available
through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed
Coastal Waters Forecasts...

Southeast Gulf of Mexico

.SYNOPSIS...A weak surface ridge will maintain gentle to
moderate winds and slight to moderate seas across most of the
basin into this weekend. Otherwise, moderate to fresh winds are
expected along the Yucatan Peninsula this evening. 

.THIS AFTERNOON....NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms. 
.TONIGHT...NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. 
.WED...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft or less. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. 
.THU...NE to E winds 10 kt S of 24N, and variable less than 5 kt
N of 24N. Seas 2 to 4 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S of 24N, NE to E winds 10 kt. N of 24N, N to NE
winds 10 kt in the evening, becoming variable less than 5 kt.
Seas 2 to 3 ft. 
.FRI...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft in NE 
swell. 
.FRI NIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft in 
NE swell.
.SAT...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft in NE 
swell. 
.SAT NIGHT...Variable winds less than 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft in 
NE swell.

Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida

.SYNOPSIS...A broad ridge extends from the central Atlantic W-SW
to central Florida. It will shift E and weaken over the next few
days. Tropical Storm Ernesto is over the Leeward Islands, or 
about 270 nm ESE of San Juan, Puerto Rico at 11 AM EDT. It is 
moving west-northwest at 16 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 45 kt 
with gusts to 55 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1003 mb. 
Ernesto will move to near 18.0N 64.6W this evening with maximum 
sustained winds 50 kt gusts 60 kt, then strengthen to a hurricane 
near 19.8N 66.6W Wed morning with maximum sustained winds 65 kt 
gusts 80 kt, move to near 22.0N 68.0W Wed evening with maximum 
sustained 75 kt gusts 90 kt, to near 24.3N 68.5W Thu morning with 
maximum sustained winds 85 kt gusts 105 kt, to near near 26.3N 
68.1W Thu evening with maximum sustained winds 90 kt gusts to 110 
kt and to near 28.2N 67.0W Fri morning with maximum sustained 
winds 95 kt gusts 115 kt. Ernesto will change little in intensity 
as it moves to just north of the area to near 31.4N 65.2W early 
Sat and to well north of the area during Sat night. Large SE swell
from Ernesto will begin to reach the Atlantic waters early Fri.

.THIS AFTERNOON...SE to S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft in E to
SE swell. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
.TONIGHT...SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Isolated showers 
and thunderstorms. 
.WED...S winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to N in the afternoon. Seas
3 to 4 ft. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and SE to S less than
5 kt N of 27N. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
.THU...N winds less than 5 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
.THU NIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in E swell. 
.SAT...N to NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft in NE to E swell.
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to SE to S after
midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft in NE to E swell.