000 FZNT25 KNHC 130924 OFFN04 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 524 AM EDT Tue Aug 13 2024 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... Southeast Gulf of Mexico .SYNOPSIS...A weak surface ridge will maintain gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas across most of the basin into this weekend. Otherwise, moderate to fresh winds are expected along the Yucatan Peninsula this evening and Tuesday evening. .TODAY...NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...N to NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .WED...N to NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .WED NIGHT...N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU...N winds less than 5 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI NIGHT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...NE to E winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to NW to N in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT NIGHT...N to NE winds 5 kt, shifting to E to SE less than 5 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft or less. Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida .SYNOPSIS...A broad ridge extends from the central Atlantic W-SW to central Florida, and will shift E and weaken over the next few days. Tropical Storm Ernesto is near 16.2N 61.3W at 5 AM AST moving west at 17 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Ernesto is expected to gradually intensify during the next few days, as it moves to near 17.1N 63.4W this afternoon, near 20.7N 67.3W Wed afternoon, then to near 23.0N 68.3W Wed night as a hurricane, then turn northward and continue to gradually strengthen, reaching near 27.2N 67.3W Thu night, near 30.5N 65W Fri night and N of the area by late Sat night. Large SE swell from Ernesto will begin to reach the Atlantic waters early Fri. .TODAY...E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt S of 27N, and S 5 to 10 kt N of 27N. Seas 3 to 4 ft in E to SE swell. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .WED...S winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to N in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft in the morning, subsiding to 2 ft or less. .WED NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and SE less than 5 kt N of 27N. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU...N winds less than 5 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. .THU NIGHT...N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. .FRI...N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 8 ft in SE swell. .FRI NIGHT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft in E swell. .SAT...N to NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. .SAT NIGHT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to SE to S after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft in NE to E swell.