000 FZNT25 KNHC 011306 OFFN04 NAVTEX Marine Forecast NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 906 AM EDT Tue Aug 1 2023 ...Please refer to Coastal Waters Forecasts (CWF) available through NOAA Weather Radio and other means for detailed Coastal Waters Forecasts... Southeast Gulf of Mexico .SYNOPSIS...Weak surface ridging prevails across the northern Gulf. The ridge will stay in place over the next few days, supporting gentle to moderate winds over most of the basin. A thermal trough will emerge off the Yucatan Peninsula and will produce nightly moderate to fresh winds by the middle to latter part of the week. High pressure will shift SE into the east Gulf today and Wed and allow for moderate return flow to develop across the W Gulf Wed night through Fri. .THIS AFTERNOON...S to SW winds less than 5 kt, shifting to NW to N in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...N winds less than 5 kt, shifting to NE to E late. Seas 2 ft or less. Isolated tstms. .WED...N to NE winds less than 5 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered tstms. .WED NIGHT...NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Numerous showers and scattered tstms. .THU...NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU NIGHT...NE to E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...N winds less than 5 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI NIGHT...N to NE winds 5 kt, shifting to E less than 5 kt late. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE to S winds less than 5 kt, shifting to N to NE in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT NIGHT...NE to E winds 5 to 10 kt, shifting to SE late. Seas 2 ft or less. Within 200 nm east of the coast of Florida .SYNOPSIS...A 1014 mb low pressure near 25.5N55W is moving northwestward. Environmental conditions still could support tropical cyclone formation during the next two to three days while the system moves NW and then N at 10 to 15 kt over the central subtropical Atlantic. This system has a medium chance of formation over the next 48 hours. Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh trade winds will continue S of 23N through early today before diminishing. Fresh trades will pulse this afternoon and early evening N of Hispaniola and over the Windward Passage. A weak frontal trough will sink S into the waters offshore of NE Florida tonight and move SE and reach from near Bermuda to the northwest Bahamas by Thu. Ridging will dominate the basin by the end of the week into the weekend. .THIS AFTERNOON...SE to S winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and W 5 to 10 kt N of 27N. Seas 2 ft or less. Scattered showers and isolated tstms. .TONIGHT...S of 27N, SE winds 5 to 10 kt. N of 27N, NW to N winds less than 5 kt, shifting to SE late. Seas 2 ft or less. Chance of showers and isolated tstms. .WED...S of 27N, E to SE winds less than 5 kt, shifting to NE to E in the afternoon, Seas 2 ft or less. N of 27N, NE winds 5 to 10 kt, Seas 2 ft or less, building to 3 ft in the afternoon. Chance of tstms. .WED NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt S of 27N, and NE to E 10 to 15 kt N of 27N. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 3 ft N of 27N. Chance of showers and slight chance of tstms. .THU...NE to E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 3 ft N of 27N. .THU NIGHT...E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 3 ft N of 27N. .FRI...SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 3 ft N of 27N. .FRI NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 3 ft N of 27N. .SAT...S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 3 to 4 ft N of 27N. .SAT NIGHT...SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less S of 27N, and 3 to 4 ft N of 27N.