000 FZNT25 KNHC 141502 OFFN04 NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1102 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012 ...PLEASE REFER TO COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR DETAILED COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS... SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO .SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRES ACROSS THE NW ATLC AND EASTERN U.S. TO MAINTAIN A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT AND FRESH WINDS OVER THE SE GULF AND YUCATAN CHANNEL THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PRES TO MOVE E ON MON AND TUE WITH WINDS AND SEAS DIMINISHING. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE S THROUGH THE GULF MON AND TUE WITH A STRONGER FRONT MOVING OFF THE TEXAS COAST BY THU. .THIS AFTERNOON...NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. .THU...SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS. WITHIN 200 NM EAST OF THE COAST OF FLORIDA .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 20.0N 64.1W 997 MB AT 1500 UTC MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. RAFAEL WILL INTENSIFY TO 60 KT GUST TO 75 KT NEAR 23.2N 66.2W EARLY MON AND TO HURRICANE STRENGTH NEAR 25.5N 66.2W MON EVENING AND TO 70 KT TUE NEAR 29.1N 64.8W BEFORE MOVING N OF THE AREA TUE NIGHT. A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN A TROUGH FROM 27N76W TO 22N75W...AND HIGH PRES ALONG THE E U.S. COAST WILL PRODUCE FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS ACROSS THE NW HALF OF THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE NW HALF TUE THROUGH WED DISSIPATING THU. .THIS AFTERNOON...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT S OF 27N...AND 8 TO 12 FT N OF 27N. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. .TONIGHT...S OF 27N...NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. N OF 27N...NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING E 10 TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT S OF 27N...AND 7 TO 10 FT N OF 27N. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N TO NW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT S OF 27N...AND 6 TO 8 FT N OF 27N. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. .TUE...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.