000 FZNT25 KNHC 140943 OFFN04 NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 543 AM EDT SUN OCT 14 2012 ...PLEASE REFER TO COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR DETAILED COASTAL WATERS FORECASTS... SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO .SYNOPSIS...ELONGATED LOW PRESSURE ZONE EXTENDING FROM N CENTRAL BAHAMAS TO JUST S OF BERMUDA WILL CONTINUE TO COMBINE WITH STRONG HIGH PRES OVER THE NW ATLC AND EASTERN U.S. TO MAINTAIN A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT AND FRESH WINDS OVER THE SE GULF AND YUCATAN CHANNEL THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PRES TO MOVE E ON MON AND TUE WITH WINDS AND SEAS DIMINISHING. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE S THROUGH THE GULF MON AND TUE WITH A STRONGER FRONT MOVING OFF THE TEXAS COAST BY THU. .TODAY...NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. .MON...N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. .TUE...N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. .WED...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. .THU...SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS. WITHIN 200 NM EAST OF THE COAST OF FLORIDA .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM RAFAEL NEAR 19.4N 63.8W 1003 MB AT 0900 UTC MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. RAFAEL WILL INTENSIFY TO 55 KT NEAR 20.7N 64.5W BY THIS AFTERNOON...TO HURRICANE STRENGTH NEAR 24.1N 66.0W MON AFTERNOON AND TO 70 KT MON NIGHT NEAR 27.1N 65.3W BEFORE EXITING N AREA TUE. A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN A TROUGH FROM 28N65W TO 22N77W...AND HIGH PRES ALONG THE E U.S. COAST WILL PRODUCE FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS ACROSS THE NW HALF OF THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE NW HALF TUE THROUGH WED DISSIPATING THU. .TODAY...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. S OF 27N...SEAS 6 TO 8 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF 27N...SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. .TONIGHT...S OF 27N...NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. N OF 27N...NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING E 10 TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT S OF 27N...AND 7 TO 10 FT N OF 27N. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. .MON...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT S OF 27N...AND 6 TO 8 FT N OF 27N. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS. .MON NIGHT...N WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT S OF 27N...AND 5 TO 7 FT N OF 27N. .TUE...N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. .WED...NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .THU...SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT.