000
FZNT25 KNHC 171514
OFFN04

NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
 1130 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011

...PLEASE REFER TO THE COASTAL MARINE FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR A MORE DETAILED
FORECAST WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE COASTLINE...


SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS
.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRES OVER GEORGIA WILL SHIFT E ALONG 30N
THROUGH TUE. LOW PRES IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL TRACK NE AS A
POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE ACROSS NE FLORIDA...AND POSSIBLY OVER
THE FAR NW WATERS TUE NIGHT...AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT
WILL MOVE OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST WED. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY
WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM NEAR 31N76W
TO S FLORIDA BY WED EVENING...FROM 31N74W TO CENTRAL CUBA BY
EARLY THU...THEN WEAKEN AND BECOME STATIONARY FROM NEAR 31N70W
TO CENTRAL CUBA FRI.

SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS
...GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TUE NIGHT AND WED N OF 28N E OF
75W...
.THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...N OF 27N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15
KT...EXCEPT N OF 29N E TO SE 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5
FT...EXCEPT N OF 30N 2 TO 3 FT. S OF 27N W OF 75W E TO SE
WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING SE 15 KT MON NIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 5
FT...SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT MON NIGHT. S OF 27N E OF 75W E TO
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. AREAS OF RAIN WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 30N W OF 71W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS S OF 27N E OF 71W. .TUE...N OF 28N W OF 75W SE WINDS
15 TO 20 KT BECOMING S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT BUILDING TO 5 TO 7 FT. ELSEWHERE SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT
BECOMING SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT EXCEPT 2 TO
3 FT IN LEE OF BAHAMAS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 28N W
OF 75W. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...N OF 28N E OF 75W S TO SW WINDS
25 TO 35 KT BECOMING W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT BEHIND FRONT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 25N SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. S OF 25N SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO
5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ALONG FRONT.
.THU...W OF FRONT W TO NW WINDS DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT.
SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. N OF 27N E OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT.
SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15
KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
.FRI...N OF 28N BEHIND FRONT N TO NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4
FT. S OF 28N BEHIND FRONT N WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT S OF
26N N TO NE 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT...HIGHEST FAR SW PART.
N OF 25N E OF FRONT NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT
IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. S OF 25N E OF FRONT NE WINDS 15 KT.
SEAS 4 TO 5 FT.


SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
.SYNOPSIS...WINDS AND SEAS OVER THE S CENTRAL GULF WILL
INCREASE TODAY AS A 1003 MB LOW PRES AREA NEAR 23N87W
INTENSIFIES. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NE TONIGHT AS A
POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...REACHING 25N87W EARLY WED...28N85W
BY LATE WED...BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL WED NIGHT IN THE FLORIDA
BIG BEND AREA. A TROUGH WILL TRAIL SW FROM THE LOW IN ADVANCE
OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL ENTER THE NW WATERS EARLY
TUE. THE FRONT WILL MOVE QUICKLY SE ACROSS THE AREA TO SE OF
THE GULF WED EVENING. HIGH PRES WILL BUILD OVER THE GULF IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONT THROUGH FRI.

MIDDLE GULF BETWEEN 85W AND 90W
...GALE WARNING S OF 27N...
.THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...S OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 30 TO 40
KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. N OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20
KT...EXCEPT N OF 29N E 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN MIXED E
AND SE SWELL...EXCEPT N OF 29N 4 TO 6 FT IN SE SWELL. NUMEROUS
SQUALLS AND TSTMS S OF 27N.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E OF TROUGH S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...
EXCEPT 25 TO 30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS WITHIN 180 NM OF LOW. SEAS
6 TO 8 FT...EXCEPT 8 TO 13 FT WITHIN 180 NM OF LOW. W OF TROUGH
NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 KT BEHIND
FRONT TUE NIGHT SEAS 6 TO 8 FT...BUILDING TO 7 TO 11 FT LATE.
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS ENTIRE AREA.
.WED...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT 25 TO 30 KT NEAR
YUCATAN CHANNEL...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 TO 11
FT.
.THU...S OF 26N N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING NE 10 TO
15 KT LATE. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7
FT LATE. N OF 26N N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT IN
NW SWELL...SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT LATE.
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.

E GULF BETWEEN 81W AND 85W
...GALE WARNING FROM 22N TO 28N W OF 83W...
.THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUE NIGHT...FROM 22N TO 28N W OF 83W NE
TO E WINDS 30 TO 40 KT BECOMING S TO SW TUE...EXCEPT FROM 22N
TO 25N E TO SE 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. S OF 22N W OF 83W
SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. S OF 22N E OF 83W
E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. N OF 28N E WINDS 15
TO 20 KT...BECOMING S TO SW 20 TO 25 KT TUE...AND NW 25 TO 30
KT TUE NIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON AND TO 6 TO 9 FT TUE. NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND TSTMS S
OF 28N. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 28N. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG COLD FRONT TUE...SHIFTING TO
SE PORTION TUE NIGHT.
.WED...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT SW 15 KT AHEAD OF
FRONT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT...EXCEPT 4 TO 6 FT AHEAD OF FRONT.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG FRONT.
.THU...NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING N TO NE 10 TO 15 KT
LATE. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7 FT LATE.
.FRI...WINDS BECOMING N TO NE 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.


SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N
BETWEEN 55W AND 65W
.SYNOPSIS...A 1003 MB LOW PRES SYSTEM JUST NE OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD THROUGH TUE MORNING.
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE LOW WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND YUCATAN
CHANNEL THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON. A TROPICAL WAVE S OF 17N ALONG
63W WILL DAMPEN OUT OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BY MID WEEK. A
COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN WED REACHING FROM
CENTRAL CUBA TO E HONDURAS BY LATE THU WHERE IT WILL STALL.

NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W
.THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT....W OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20
KT...EXCEPT N OF 21N W OF 83W SE TO S 20 TO 30 KT...DIMINISHING
TO 15 TO 20 KT EARLY TONIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT...EXCEPT N OF 21N
W OF 83W 8 TO 11 FT...SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 8 FT TONIGHT. E OF 80W
SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS
AND TSTMS N OF 21N W OF 81W.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W OF 80W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15
KT...EXCEPT BEHIND FRONT BECOMING W TO NW 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4
TO 6 FT. E OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...SHIFTING TO S TO
SW LATE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ALONG AND
E OF FRONT. .WED...NW OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS INCREASING TO 20
TO 25 KT... EXCEPT HIGHER GUSTS YUCATAN CHANNEL. SEAS BUILDING
6 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL...EXCEPT 8 TO 11 FT YUCATAN CHANNEL. SE
OF FRONT W TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15
KT LATE. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS
AHEAD OF FRONT.
.THU...W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...BECOMING N TO NE
WINDS LATE. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. E OF FRONT VARIABLE MAINLY E WINDS
5 TO 10 KT KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
TSTMS ALONG FRONT.
.FRI...BEHIND FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT W TO NW
GULF OF HONDURAS. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.


$$