000
FZNT25 KNHC 170932
OFFN04

NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
 530 AM EDT MON OCT 17 2011

...PLEASE REFER TO THE COASTAL MARINE FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR A MORE DETAILED
FORECAST WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE COASTLINE...


SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS
.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT FROM JUST SE OF BERMUDA SW
TO THE NW BAHAMAS AND TO WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA WILL GRADUALLY
DISSIPATE THROUGH TUE MORNING AS A HIGH PRES RIDGE BUILDS ALONG
31N. THE RIDGE WILL SHIFT NE AND WEAKEN TUE IN RESPONSE TO A
COLD FRONT THAT MOVES OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST EARLY WED. LOW
PRES IN THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL TRACK NE AS A POSSIBLE TROPICAL
CYCLONE ACROSS NE FLORIDA...AND POSSIBLY OVER THE FAR NW WATERS
TUE NIGHT. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH
FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT
WILL REACH FROM NEAR 31N76W TO S FLORIDA BY WED EVENING...FROM
31N74W TO CENTRAL CUBA BY EARLY THU...THEN WEAKEN AND BECOME
STATIONARY FROM NEAR 31N70W TO CENTRAL CUBA FRI.

SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS
...GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TUE NIGHT AND WED N OF 28N E OF
FRONT...
.TODAY AND TONIGHT...N OF 27N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15
KT...EXCEPT N OF 29N E TO SE 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5
FT...EXCEPT N OF 30N 2 TO 3 FT. S OF 27N W OF 75W E TO SE
WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING SE 15 KT MON NIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 5
FT...SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT MON NIGHT. S OF 27N E OF 75W E TO
SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. AREAS OF RAIN WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 30N W OF 71W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS S OF 27N E OF 71W. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W OF 70W SE TO
S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...EXCEPT N OF 26N AHEAD OF FRONT BECOMING
S TO SW 20 TO 30 KT AND INCREASING TO 30 TO 35 KT N OF 28N W
OF 75W...THEN BECOMING W TO NW 20 TO 25 KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS
4 TO 6 FT NE OF BAHAMAS... EXCEPT N OF 28N BUILDING TO 7 TO 11
FT TUE NIGHT...SEAS 2 TO 4 FT SW OF BAHAMAS. E OF 70W SE WINDS
10 TO 15 KT BECOMING SE TO S 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT.
.WED AND THU...BEHIND FRONT W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...
DIMINISHING TO NW 15 TO 20 KT LATE WED...AND TO N TO NE 10 TO
15 KT LATE THU. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT NE OF BAHAMAS...SUBSIDING TO 5
TO 8 FT THU...AND 2 TO 4 FT SW OF BAHAMAS...EXCEPT TO 8 FT
EXPOSED AREAS. N OF 28N E OF FRONT S WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 9 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 26N E OF FRONT TO 72W S
TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT THU. SEAS
7 TO 10 FT... SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT THU. N OF 26N E OF 72W SE
TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT THU. SEAS
4 TO 7 FT IN SE SWELL...BUILDING 5 TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW
SWELL. S OF 26N E OF FRONT SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20
KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE WED...THEN SHIFTING TO NE
TO E THU. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS
AHEAD OF FRONT. .FRI...N OF 28N BEHIND FRONT N TO NE WINDS 15
KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. S OF 28N BEHIND FRONT N WINDS 10 TO 15
KT...EXCEPT S OF 26N N TO NE 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6
FT...HIGHEST FAR SW PART. N OF 25N E OF FRONT NE TO E WINDS 10
TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL. S OF 25N E
OF FRONT NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT.


SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
.SYNOPSIS...A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM FORT MYERS
FLORIDA TO NEAR 25N89W WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT. A 1003 MB LOW IS NEAR 22N87W. THE PRES GRADIENT
BETWEEN HIGH PRES OVER THE SE UNITED STATES AND THE LOW PRES
WILL ALLOW FOR STRONG NE TO E WINDS TO PERSIST OVER THE MUCH
OF THE SOUTHERN WATERS THROUGH EARLY TUE. THE LOW...POSSIBLY A
TROPICAL CYCLONE...IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO TRACK NE TONIGHT TO
NEAR 26N86W TUE AFTERNOON...TO NEAR 28N83W BY LATE TUE NIGHT
BEFORE MOVING ACROSS N CENTRAL FLORIDA. A TROUGH WILL TRAIL SW
FROM THE LOW IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL ENTER
THE NW WATERS EARLY TUE. THE FRONT WILL MOVE QUICKLY SE ACROSS
THE AREA TO SE OF THE GULF WED EVENING. HIGH PRES WILL BUILD
OVER THE GULF IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT THROUGH FRI.

MIDDLE GULF BETWEEN 85W AND 90W
...GALE WARNING S OF 27N...
.TODAY AND TONIGHT...S OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9
TO 14 FT. N OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...EXCEPT N OF 29N
E 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN MIXED E AND SE SWELL...EXCEPT
N OF 29N 4 TO 6 FT IN SE SWELL. NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND TSTMS S
OF 27N.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E OF TROUGH S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...
EXCEPT 25 TO 30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS WITHIN 180 NM OF LOW. SEAS
6 TO 8 FT...EXCEPT 8 TO 13 FT WITHIN 180 NM OF LOW. W OF TROUGH
NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 KT BEHIND
FRONT LATE. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT...BUILDING TO 7 TO 11 FT LATE.
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS ENTIRE AREA.
.WED...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT 25 TO 30 KT NEAR
YUCATAN CHANNEL...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 TO 11
FT.
.THU...S OF 26N N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING NE 10 TO
15 KT LATE. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7
FT LATE. N OF 26N N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT IN
NW SWELL...SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT LATE.
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.

E GULF BETWEEN 81W AND 85W
...GALE WARNING FROM 22N TO 28N W OF 83W...
.TODAY THROUGH TUE NIGHT...FROM 22N TO 28N W OF 83W NE TO E
WINDS 30 TO 40 KT BECOMING S TO SW TUE...EXCEPT FROM 22N TO 25N
E TO SE 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. S OF 22N W OF 83W SE TO S
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. S OF 22N E OF 83W E TO SE
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. N OF 28N E WINDS 15 TO 20
KT...BECOMING S TO SW 20 TO 25 KT TUE...AND NW 25 TO 30 KT TUE
NIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON
AND TO 6 TO 9 FT TUE. NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND TSTMS NEAR S OF 28N.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 28N. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG COLD FRONT TUE...SHIFTING TO SE PORTION
TUE NIGHT.
.WED...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT SW 15 KT AHEAD OF
FRONT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT...EXCEPT 4 TO 6 FT AHEAD OF FRONT.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG FRONT.
.THU...NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING N TO NE 10 TO 15 KT
LATE. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7 FT LATE.
.FRI...WINDS BECOMING N TO NE 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.


SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N
BETWEEN 55W AND 65W
.SYNOPSIS...A 1003 MB LOW PRES SYSTEM JUST NE OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD THROUGH TUE MORNING.
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THE LOW WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND YUCATAN
CHANNEL THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON. A TROPICAL WAVE S OF 17N ALONG
63W IS MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT. THE WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE E
CARIBBEAN THROUGH TUE WHILE WEAKENING. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN WED REACHING FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO E
HONDURAS BY LATE THU WHERE IT WILL STALL.

NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W
.TODAY AND TONIGHT....W OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20
KT...EXCEPT N OF 21N W OF 83W SE TO S 20 TO 30
KT...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT EARLY TONIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 7
FT...EXCEPT N OF 21N W OF 83W 8 TO 11 FT...SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 8
FT TONIGHT. E OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5
FT. NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND TSTMS N OF 21N W OF 81W.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W OF 80W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15
KT...EXCEPT BEHIND FRONT BECOMING W TO NW 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4
TO 6 FT. E OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...SHIFTING TO S TO
SW LATE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ALONG AND
E OF FRONT. .WED...NW OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS INCREASING TO 20
TO 25 KT... EXCEPT HIGHER GUSTS YUCATAN CHANNEL. SEAS BUILDING
6 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL...EXCEPT 8 TO 11 FT YUCATAN CHANNEL. SE
OF FRONT W TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15
KT LATE. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS
AHEAD OF FRONT.
.THU...W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...BECOMING N TO NE
WINDS LATE. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. E OF FRONT VARIABLE MAINLY E WINDS
5 TO 10 KT KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
TSTMS ALONG FRONT.
.FRI...BEHIND FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT W TO NW
GULF OF HONDURAS. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT.


$$