000
FZNT25 KNHC 170314
OFFN04

NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
 1130 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

...PLEASE REFER TO THE COASTAL MARINE FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR A MORE DETAILED
FORECAST WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE COASTLINE...


SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS
.SYNOPSIS...A STATIONARY FRONT FROM JUST SE OF BERMUDA SW
ACROSS THE NW BAHAMAS ALONG 25N THEN W ACROSS EXTREME S
FLORIDA WILL DRIFT N ACROSS W PORTIONS...WHILE GRADUALLY
DISSIPATING THROUGH MON AS HIGH PRES BUILDS ALONG 31N. THE
HIGH WILL SHIFT NE AND WEAKEN TUE IN RESPONSE TO A COLD FRONT
THAT MOVES OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST WED. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY
WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM NEAR 31N76W
TO S FLORIDA WED EVENING... THEN WILL WEAKEN AS IT EXTENDS
FROM NEAR 31N70W TO CENTRAL CUBA THROUGH FRI.

SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS
...GALE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TUE NIGHT AHEAD OF FRONT N OF
28N...
.TONIGHT...N OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT SE TO S
WINDS 5 TO 10 KT SE OF FRONT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 27N W OF 75W
NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN EXPOSED
AREAS...AND 3 TO 5 FT ELSEWHERE. S OF 27N E OF 75W NE TO E
WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT E TO SE WINDS SE OF FRONT. SEAS 4
TO 6 FT. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER NEAR SCATTERED SHOWERS TSTMS S
OF 27N W OF 75W. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N OF 27N E TO SE WINDS
10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT 5 TO 10 KT N OF 30N MON. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
S OF 27N W OF 75W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING SE 15
KT MON NIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT MON
NIGHT. S OF 27N E OF 75W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO
6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 26N W OF 72W.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W OF 70W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...
BECOMING S TO SW 20 TO 30 KT N OF 26N AHEAD OF FRONT EXCEPT 30
TO 35 KT N OF 28N W OF 75W...THEN BECOMING W TO NW 20 TO 25 KT
BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT NE OF BAHAMAS BUILDING TO 6 TO 10
FT EXCEPT BUILDING TO 8 TO 12 FT N OF 27N LATE...AND 2 TO 4 FT
SW OF BAHAMAS THROUGHOUT. E OF 70W SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT
BECOMING SE TO S 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT.
.WED AND THU...W OF FRONT W TO NW WINDS 20 KT GRADUALLY
BECOMING NW 15 TO 20 KT LATE WED...BECOMING N TO NE 10 TO 15
KT LATE THU. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT NE OF BAHAMAS SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8
FT THU... AND 2 TO 4 FT SW OF BAHAMAS EXCEPT TO 8 FT EXPOSED
AREAS. N OF 26N E OF FRONT TO 72W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30
KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT THU. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT EXCEPT TO
13 FT WITHIN 180 NM E OF FRONT...SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT
THROUGHOUT THU. N OF 26N E OF 72W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT
DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT THU. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT IN SE SWELL
BUILDING 5 TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. S OF 26N E OF
FRONT SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT
LATE WED...THEN SHIFTING TO NE TO E THU. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT. .FRI...NW
OF FRONT N OF 28N NE TO N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT IN NW SWELL.
NW OF FRONT S OF 28N N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT EXCEPT 20 TO 25 KT
WITHIN 90 NM OF FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN NW SWELL EXCEPT TO 8
FT WITHIN 90 NM OF FRONT. N OF 25N E OF FRONT NE TO E WINDS 10
TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 7 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL. S OF 25N E OF
FRONT NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT.


SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
.SYNOPSIS...A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM EXTREME S FLORIDA
TO NEAR 21N92W WILL LIFT SLOWLY N AS A WARM FRONT WHILE
DISSIPATING THROUGH TUE. A LARGE AND ELONGATED CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CONTINUES TONIGHT...CENTERED ACROSS THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND ENCOMPASSING THE ADJACENT W CARIBBEAN AND GULF OF
MEXICO. THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRES OVER THE SE UNITED
STATES AND THIS LOW PRES OVER THE YUCATAN WILL ALLOW FOR STRONG
NE TO E WINDS TO PERSIST OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE GULF THROUGH
TUE WITH GALES OVER THE S WATERS THROUGH EARLY MON MORNING.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE SE GULF THROUGH TUE AS THE BROAD LOW PRES LIFTS SLOWLY N
AND NW. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE NW GULF TUE
AFTERNOON AND MOVE QUICKLY SE ACROSS THE GULF TUE NIGHT
THROUGH WED...SHIFTING SE OF THE BASIN WED EVENING. HIGH PRES
BUILDS IN BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH FRI.

MIDDLE GULF BETWEEN 85W AND 90W
...GALE WARNING S OF 26N...
.TONIGHT...S OF 26N NE TO E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
N OF 26N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN MIXED E
AND SE SWELL. NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND TSTMS S OF 26N.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S OF FRONT SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS
6 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL. N OF FRONT NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...
BECOMING N 15 TO 20 KT MON NIGHT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN SE
SWELL... SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 8 FT MON NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND TSTMS. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS 15 TO
20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25
KT...INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT...BUILDING
TO 7 TO 11 FT LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS AHEAD OF
FRONT. .WED...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT TO 30 KT NEAR
YUCATAN CHANNEL...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 TO
11 FT. .THU...S OF 26N N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING NE
10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL...SUBSIDING TO 4
TO 7 FT LATE. N OF 26N N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7
FT... SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT LATE.
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.

E GULF BETWEEN 81W AND 85W
...GALE WARNING S OF 26N...
.TONIGHT...N OF 26N NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF
26N E TO SE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT...BECOMING SE 20 KT S OF 24N
LATE. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT...HIGHEST SW. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS S OF 26N.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 20 KT...BECOMING SE
TO S 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT
LATE. S OF 26N SE TO S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN SE
SWELL...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT LATE. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR FRONT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING NW 20
TO 25 KT BEHIND NEW FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...BUILDING TO 5 TO 8
FT BEHIND NEW FRONT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG
NEW FRONT.
.WED...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT SW 15 KT AHEAD OF
FRONT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT...EXCEPT 4 TO 6 FT AHEAD OF FRONT.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG FRONT.
.THU...NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING N TO NE 10 TO 15 KT
LATE. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7 FT LATE.
.FRI...N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.


SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N
BETWEEN 55W AND 65W
.SYNOPSIS...A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CONTINUES ACROSS THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND ADJACENT S GULF OF MEXICO AND W CARIBBEAN
WITH A LOW PRES CENTER NEAR 20.5N86W. THE BROAD CIRCULATION
WILL SHIFT SLOWLY NW THROUGH TUE WHILE THE LOW PRES CENTER
MEANDERS N-NW. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITH STRONG GUSTY
WINDS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND YUCATAN CHANNEL
THROUGH TUE. A TROPICAL WAVE S OF 17N ALONG 60W THIS EVENING
MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN
TONIGHT THROUGH TUE WHILE WEAKENING. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN WED REACHING FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO E
HONDURAS BY LATE THU WHERE IT WILL STALL.

NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W
.TONIGHT...N OF 19N S TO SE WINDS 20 KT EXCEPT 20 TO 25 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 30 KT YUCATAN CHANNEL EARLY. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT EXCEPT TO
9 FT YUCATAN CHANNEL. S OF 19N W OF 80W S TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20
KT EXCEPT SW TO S WINDS W OF 85W. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF 19N E
OF 80W SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN SE SWELL. SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS MAINLY N OF 18N.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4
TO 7 FT...EXCEPT TO 8 FT NEAR YUCATAN CHANNEL. E OF 80W SE TO S
WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
SCATTERED TSTMS NW PORTION TONIGHT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W OF 80W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15
KT...BECOMING W TO NW 15 TO 20 KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
E OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...SHIFTING TO S TO SW LATE.
SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT.
.WED...NW OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR YUCATAN CHANNEL. SEAS BUILDING 6 TO 9 FT IN
NW SWELL ...EXCEPT UP TO 11 FT YUCATAN CHANNEL. SE OF FRONT W
TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS
3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS AHEAD OF
FRONT. .THU...W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 KT...LOCALLY TO 25
KT BECOMING N TO NE WINDS LATE. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. E OF FRONT
VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG FRONT.
.FRI...W OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT W TO NW
WINDS GULF OF HONDURAS. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT EXCEPT TO 10 FT GULF OF
HONDURAS.


$$