000 FZNT25 KNHC 162132 OFFN04 NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011 ...PLEASE REFER TO THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST AVAILABLE THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR A MORE DETAILED FORECAST WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE COASTLINE... SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS .SYNOPSIS...A STATIONARY FRONT FROM NEAR BERMUDA SW TO THE NW BAHAMAS ALONG 25N THEN W ACROSS EXTREME S FLORIDA WILL DRIFT N W OF 75W...WHILE GRADUALLY DISSIPATING THROUGH MON AS HIGH PRES BUILDS ALONG 31N. THE HIGH WILL SHIFT NE AND WEAKEN TUE IN RESPONSE TO A COLD FRONT THAT MOVES OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST WED. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM NEAR 31N76W TO S FLORIDA WED EVENING...THEN WILL WEAKEN AS IT EXTENDS FROM NEAR 31N70W TO SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS .TONIGHT...N OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT SE TO S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT SE OF FRONT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 27N W OF 75W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN EXPOSED AREAS...AND 3 TO 5 FT ELSEWHERE. S OF 27N E OF 75W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT E TO SE WINDS SE OF FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER NEAR SCATTERED SHOWERS TSTMS S OF 27N W OF 75W. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N OF 27N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT 5 TO 10 KT N OF 30N MON. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 27N W OF 75W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING SE 15 KT MON NIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT MON NIGHT. S OF 27N E OF 75W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 26N W OF 72W. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W OF 70W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING S TO SW 20 TO 30 KT N OF 26N AHEAD OF FRONT...THEN BECOMING TO W TO NW 20 TO 25 KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT NE OF BAHAMAS BUILDING TO 6 TO 10 FT EXCEPT BUILDING TO 8 TO 12 FT N OF 27N LATE...AND 2 TO 4 FT SW OF BAHAMAS THROUGHOUT. E OF 70W SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT BECOMING SE TO S 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT. .WED AND THU...W OF FRONT W TO NW WINDS 20 KT GRADUALLY BECOMING NW 15 TO 20 KT LATE WED...BECOMING N TO NE 10 TO 15 KT LATE THU. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT NE OF BAHAMAS SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT THU... AND 2 TO 4 FT SW OF BAHAMAS EXCEPT TO 8 FT EXPOSED AREAS. N OF 26N E OF FRONT TO 72W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT THU. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT EXCEPT TO 13 FT WITHIN 180 NM E OF FRONT...SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT THROUGHOUT THU. N OF 26N E OF 72W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT THU. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT IN SE SWELL BUILDING 5 TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. S OF 26N E OF FRONT SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE WED...THEN SHIFTING TO NE TO E THU. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT. .FRI...NW OF FRONT N OF 28N NE TO N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT IN NW SWELL. NW OF FRONT S OF 28N N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT EXCEPT 20 TO 25 KT WITHIN 90 NM OF FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT IN NW SWELL EXCEPT TO 8 FT WITHIN 90 NM OF FRONT. N OF 25N E OF FRONT NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 7 FT IN BROAD MIX OF SWELL. S OF 25N E OF SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO .SYNOPSIS...A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM SW FLORIDA TO NEAR 26N86W WILL GRADUALLY LIFT N AS A WARM FRONT WHILE DISSIPATING THROUGH TUE. THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRES OVER THE SE UNITED STATES AND LOW PRES OVER THE NE YUCATAN PENINSULA WILL ALLOW FOR STRONG NE TO E WINDS TO PERSIST OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE GULF THROUGH TUE WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS OVER THE S WATERS. THE LOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT SLOWLY TRACKS NW. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE RAPIDLY SE ACROSS THE GULF TUE THROUGH WED SHIFTING SE BY WED NIGHT. HIGH PRES BUILDS IN BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH MIDDLE GULF BETWEEN 85W AND 90W ...GALE WARNING S OF 25N... .TONIGHT...S OF 25N NE TO E WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. N OF 25N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL FROM 25N TO 27N...AND 4 TO 7 FT N OF 27N. NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND TSTMS S OF 25N. .MON AND MON NIGHT...S OF FRONT SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL. N OF FRONT NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT... BECOMING N 15 TO 20 KT MON NIGHT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN SE SWELL... SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 8 FT MON NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT...BUILDING TO 7 TO 11 FT LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT. .WED...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT TO 30 KT NEAR YUCATAN CHANNEL...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. .THU...S OF 26N N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING NE 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7 FT LATE. N OF 26N N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT... SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT LATE. .FRI...NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. E GULF BETWEEN 81W AND 85W .TONIGHT...N OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 26N E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO NEAR GALE FORCE SW PART. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT...EXCEPT UP TO 13 FT IN STRAITS OF FLORIDA. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS S OF 25N. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 20 KT...BECOMING SE TO S 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT LATE. S OF 26N SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT LATE. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR FRONT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING NW 20 TO 25 KT BEHIND NEW FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT BEHIND NEW FRONT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG NEW FRONT. .WED...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT SW 15 KT AHEAD OF FRONT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT...EXCEPT 4 TO 6 FT AHEAD OF FRONT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG FRONT. .THU...NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING N TO NE 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7 FT LATE. .FRI...N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W .SYNOPSIS...A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND ADJACENT GULF OF MEXICO AND W CARIBBEAN...WITH LOW PRES CENTER NEAR 21N86W WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NW THROUGH TUE. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND YUCATAN CHANNEL THROUGH TUE. A TROPICAL WAVE S OF 17N ALONG 59/60W THIS EVENING MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT WILL ENTER THE FAR E CARIBBEAN TONIGHT...MOVING ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN THROUGH TUE WHILE WEAKENING. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN WED REACHING FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO E HONDURAS BY LATE THU WHERE IT WILL STALL. NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W .TONIGHT...N OF 18N S TO SE WINDS 20 KT EXCEPT 20 TO 25 KT YUCATAN CHANNEL EARLY. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT EXCEPT TO 9 FT YUCATAN CHANNEL. S OF 18N W OF 80W SW TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT BECOMING SE TO S WINDS LATE. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF 18N E OF 80W SE WINDS 15 KT BECOMING S TO SE LATE. SEAS 5 TO 6 FT. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...EXCEPT TO 8 FT NEAR YUCATAN CHANNEL. E OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS NW PORTION TONIGHT. .TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W OF 80W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING W TO NW 15 TO 20 KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. E OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...SHIFTING TO S TO SW LATE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT. .WED...NW OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR YUCATAN CHANNEL. SEAS BUILDING 6 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL ...EXCEPT UP TO 11 FT YUCATAN CHANNEL. SE OF FRONT W TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT. .THU...W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 KT...LOCALLY TO 25 KT BECOMING N TO NE WINDS LATE. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. E OF FRONT VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG FRONT. .FRI...W OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT W TO NW WINDS GULF OF HONDURAS. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT EXCEPT TO 10 FT GULF OF HONDURAS. $$