000
FZNT25 KNHC 161501
OFFN04
NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

...PLEASE REFER TO THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST AVAILABLE
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR A MORE DETAILED
FORECAST WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE COASTLINE...

SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS
.SYNOPSIS...A STATIONARY FRONT FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO ACROSS THE
N BAHAMAS AND SE FLORIDA WILL GRADUALLY DISSIPATE THROUGH MON
AS HIGH PRES BUILDS ALONG 31N. THE HIGH WILL SHIFT NE AND
WEAKEN TUE IN RESPONSE TO A COLD FRONT THAT MOVES OFF THE NE
FLORIDA COAST WED. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THE
FRONT WITH FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT.
THE FRONT WILL REACH FROM NEAR 31N76W TO S FLORIDA WED
EVENING...THEN WILL WEAKEN AS IT EXTENDS FROM NEAR 31N70W TO
CENTRAL CUBA BY LATE THU.

SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS
.THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...N OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 15 KT
...EXCEPT SE TO S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT SE OF FRONT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT.
S OF 27N W OF 75W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN
EXPOSED AREAS...AND 3 TO 5 FT ELSEWHERE. S OF 27N E OF 75W NE
TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT E TO SE WINDS SE OF FRONT.
SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR SCATTERED
SHOWERS TSTMS S OF 27N W OF 75W.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N OF 27N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15
KT...EXCEPT 5 TO 10 KT N OF 30N MON. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 27N
W OF 75W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING SE 15 KT MON
NIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT MON NIGHT. S OF
27N E OF 75W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 26N W OF 72W.
.TUE...W OF 70W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING S TO SW 20
TO 30 KT N OF 26N AHEAD OF FRONT...THEN BECOMING TO W TO NW 20
TO 25 KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT NE OF BAHAMAS BUILDING TO
6 TO 10 FT EXCEPT BUILDING TO 8 TO 12 FT N OF 27N LATE...AND 2
TO 4 FT SW OF BAHAMAS THROUGHOUT. E OF 70W SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT
BECOMING SE TO S 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT.
.WED AND THU...W OF FRONT W TO NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT BECOMING NW
TO N 15 TO 20 KT LATE WED...THEN BECOMING N TO NE 10 TO 15 KT
THU. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT NE OF BAHAMAS SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT
THU... AND 2 TO 4 FT SW OF BAHAMAS EXCEPT TO 8 FT EXPOSED
AREAS. N OF 26N E OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30
KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT THU. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT EXCEPT TO
13 FT WITHIN 180 NM E OF FRONT...SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT
THROUGHOUT THU. S OF 26N E OF FRONT SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT
DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE WED...THEN SHIFTING TO E TO SE
THU. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT...EXCEPT 1 TO 3 FT W OF 72W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT.

SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
.SYNOPSIS...A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM SW FLORIDA NEAR
26N86W TO 25N90W WILL GRADUALLY LIFT N AS A WARM FRONT WHILE
DISSIPATING THROUGH TUE. THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRES
OVER THE SE UNITED STATES AND LOW PRES OVER THE NE YUCATAN
PENINSULA WILL ALLOW FOR STRONG NE TO E WINDS TO PERSIST OVER
THE MAJORITY OF THE GULF THROUGH TUE WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS
OVER THE S WATERS. THE LOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A
TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT SLOWLY TRACKS NW. A STRONG COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE RAPIDLY SE ACROSS THE GULF TUE THROUGH WED SHIFTING
SE BY WED NIGHT. HIGH PRES BUILDS IN BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH

MIDDLE GULF BETWEEN 85W AND 90W
...GALE WARNING S OF 25N...
.THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...S OF 25N NE TO E WINDS 30 TO 40
KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. N OF 25N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS
6 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL FROM 25N TO 27N...AND 4 TO
7 FT N OF 27N. NUMEROUS SQUALLS AND TSTMS S OF 25N.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S OF FRONT SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS
6 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL. N OF FRONT NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...
BECOMING N 15 TO 20 KT MON NIGHT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN SE
SWELL... SUBSIDING TO 6 TO 8 FT MON NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND TSTMS. .TUE...E OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5
TO 7 FT. W OF FRONT NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...INCREASING TO
25 TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT...BUILDING TO 7 TO 11 FT
LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT.
.WED...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT TO 30 KT NEAR YUCATAN
CHANNEL...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.THU...S OF 26N N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING NE 10 TO
15 KT LATE. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7
FT LATE. N OF 26N N TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...
SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4 FT LATE.

E GULF BETWEEN 81W AND 85W
.THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...N OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20
KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 26N E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25
KT...EXCEPT 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO NEAR GALE FORCE SW PART.
SEAS 6 TO 10 FT...EXCEPT UP TO 13 FT IN STRAITS OF FLORIDA.
AREAS OF RAIN. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS S OF 25N.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N OF 27N NE TO E WINDS 20 KT...BECOMING SE
TO S 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT
LATE. S OF 26N SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN NE
SWELL...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT LATE. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR FRONT.
.TUE...S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING NW 20 TO 25 KT
BEHIND NEW FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT BEHIND
NEW FRONT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG NEW
FRONT. .WED...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT SW 15 KT
AHEAD OF FRONT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT...EXCEPT 4 TO 6 FT AHEAD OF
FRONT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG FRONT.
.THU...NW TO N WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING N TO NE 10 TO 15 KT
LATE. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 7 FT LATE.

SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N
BETWEEN 55W AND 65W
.SYNOPSIS...A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRES WITH ITS CENTER OVER THE
EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA WILL DRIFT NW THROUGH TUE. NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF
THE NW CARIBBEAN AND YUCATAN CHANNEL THROUGH TUE. A TROPICAL
WAVE S OF 17N ALONG 57W MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT WILL ENTER THE
FAR E CARIBBEAN TONIGHT...MOVING ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN THROUGH
TUE WHILE WEAKENING. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE NW
CARIBBEAN WED REACHING FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO E HONDURAS BY LATE
THU WHERE IT WILL STALL.

NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W
.THIS AFTERNOON...N OF 20N W OF 82W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT
WITH HIGHER GUSTS NEAR YUCATAN CHANNEL...BECOMING SE TO S 15 TO
20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT...EXCEPT TO 12 FT NEAR YUCATAN
CHANNEL. S OF 20N W OF 82W S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...SHIFTING
TO SE TO S LATE. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. E OF 82W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO
20 KT...DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. WINDS
AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
TSTMS N OF 18N W OF 82W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS
ELSEWHERE. .TONIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...W OF 80W SE TO S WINDS
15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT...EXCEPT TO 8 FT NEAR YUCATAN
CHANNEL. E OF 80W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...SHIFTING TO SE
TO S MON NIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
TSTMS NW PORTION TONIGHT. .TUE...W OF 80W S TO SW WINDS 10 TO
15 KT...BECOMING W TO NW 15 TO 20 KT BEHIND FRONT. SEAS 4 TO 6
FT. E OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...SHIFTING TO S TO SW
LATE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS AHEAD OF
FRONT. .WED...W OF 80W NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO
30 KT NEAR YUCATAN CHANNEL BECOMING N 15 TO 20 KT
LATE...EXCEPT S TO SW 10 TO 15 KT AHEAD OF FRONT. SEAS 6 TO 9
FT...EXCEPT UP TO 12 FT NEAR YUCATAN CHANNEL. E OF 80W SE TO S
WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED TSTMS AHEAD OF FRONT.
.THU...W OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. E
OF FRONT SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...SHIFTING TO E TO SE LATE.
SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS AHEAD OF
FRONT.

$$