000
FZNT25 KNHC 160924
OFFN04

NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
 530 AM EDT SUN OCT 16 2011

...PLEASE REFER TO THE COASTAL MARINE FORECASTS (CWF) AVAILABLE
THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR A MORE DETAILED
FORECAST WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE COASTLINE...


SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS
.SYNOPSIS...A STATIONARY FRONT FROM JUST E OF BERMUDA TO THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS AND TO S FLORIDA BEGIN TO LIFT NORTHWARD TODAY
TO N OF THE AREA TUE MORNING AS HIGH PRES BUILDS ALONG 31N.
THE HIGH WILL SHIFT NE AND WEAKEN LATER TUE THROUGH WED
IN RESPONSE TO A COLD FRONT THAT MOVES OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST
EARLY WED. INCREASING SLY WINDS WILL PRECEDE THE FRONT WITH
FRESH TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT. THE FRONT
WILL REACH FROM NEAR 31N75W TO S FLORIDA BY LATE WED...THEN
BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES FROM NEAR 31N70W TO WESTERN
CUBA BY LATE THU.

SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS
.TODAY AND TONIGHT...N OF 27N NW OF FRONT NE TO E WINDS 10 TO
15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. S OF 27N W OF 75W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN EXPOSED AREAS. N OF 24N E OF FRONT E
TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL.
ELSEWHERE E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. WINDS AND SEAS
HIGHER IN AND NEAR SCATTERED SHOWERS TSTMS S OF 27N W OF 71W.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...WINDS BECOMING E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15
KT... EXCEPT S OF 27N W OF 71W E TO SE 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO
5 FT... EXCEPT S OF 27N W OF 71W 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND TSTMS S OF 27N W OF 71W.
.TUE...W OF 70W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO
25 KT N OF 27N AHEAD OF FRONT LATE...EXCEPT FAR NW PART
BECOMING W TO NW. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT LATE.
E OF 70W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT
LATE. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS
NW PART ALONG AND FRONT.
.WED AND THU...NW OF FRONT NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING N 10
TO 15 KT THU. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. N OF 26N SE OF FRONT S TO SW
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT 25 TO 30 KT N OF 29N WITHIN 180 NM E
OF FRONT... DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT THU THEN BECOMING E TO
SE 5 TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT...EXCEPT N OF 29N 9 TO 11
FT WITHIN 180 NM E OF FRONT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT THU. S OF
26N SE OF FRONT TO 70W S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...DIMINISHING
TO 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. S OF 26N E OF 70W SE TO S
WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS
ALONG FRONT.


SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
.SYNOPSIS...A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING FROM S FLORIDA TO
24N89W WILL GRADUALLY LIFT N AS A WARM FRONT WHILE DISSIPATING
THROUGH MON NIGHT. THE PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN THE FRONT AND HIGH
PRES BUILDING OVER THE SE UNITED STATES AND LOW PRES OVER
THE NE YUCATAN PENINSULA WILL ALLOW FOR STRONG NE TO E WINDS TO
PERSIST OVER JUST ABOUT THE ENTIRE GULF THROUGH MON WITH THE
STRONGEST OF THE WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS. THE LOW MAY
POSSIBLY INTENSIFY INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE AS IT SLOWLY TRACKS
NW. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE RAPIDLY SE ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF
TUE THROUGH WED...AND MOVE E OF THE AREA BY WED NIGHT. HIGH
PRES WILL THEN BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT THROUGH THU.

MIDDLE GULF BETWEEN 85W AND 90W
...GALE WARNING S OF 25N...
.TODAY AND TONIGHT...S OF 25N NE TO E WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9
TO 14 FT. N OF 25N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN
MIXED NE AND SE SWELL FROM 25N TO 27N...AND 4 TO 6 FT N OF 27N.
S OF 25N NE TO E WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. NUMEROUS
SQUALLS AND TSTMS S OF 25N
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S OF 26N WINDS BECOMING E TO SE WINDS 20
TO 30 KT...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT. IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 8 TO 11 FT...AND TO 6 TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. N
OF 26N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...BECOMING VARIABLE 5 TO 10 KT
LATE. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT LATE. S OF 26N E
TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT BECOMING S TO SW 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS
7 TO 11 FT...SUBSIDING TO 4 TO 6 FT LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS.
.TUE...N OF 26N WINDS BECOMING N TO NE 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT
BEHIND NEW FRONT BECOMING NW TO N 20 TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 6
FT...EXCEPT BEHIND NEW FRONT BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT LATE. S OF
26N S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT BEHIND FRONT BECOMING NW
TO N 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT...EXCEPT BEHIND NEW FRONT
BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FT LATE. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ALONG
NEW FRONT.
.WED...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT...DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 20 KT
LATE. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT...SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 8 FT LATE.
.THU...S OF 25N N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. N OF
25N N TO NE WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT.

E GULF BETWEEN 81W AND 85W
.TODAY AND TONIGHT...N OF 26N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3
TO 5 FT...BUILDING TO 4 TO 6 FT. S OF 26N NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT EXCEPT 20 TO 30 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO NEAR GALE
FORCE SW PART. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT...BUILDING TO 8 TO 12 FT...AND
UP TO 13 FT STRAITS OF FLORIDA. AREAS OF RAIN WITH EMBEDDED
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS S OF 26N.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N OF 26N NE TO E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT
BECOMING SE TO S 10 TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT SUBSIDING TO
3 TO 5 FT LATE. S OF 26N SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT SHIFTING TO
S TO SW LATE. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL...SUBSIDING TO 2 TO 4
FT LATE. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS NEAR FRONT.
.TUE...N OF 26N SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT BEHIND FRONT
BECOMING NW TO N 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT...BUILDING TO 5 TO
7 FT BEHIND NEW FRONT. S OF 26N S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS
2 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG NEW
FRONT. .WED...NW TO N WINDS 20 KT...EXCEPT AHEAD OF FRONT SW
10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT...EXCEPT AHEAD OF FRONT 3 TO 5 FT.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG NEW FRONT.
.THU...WINDS BECOMING N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5
TO 8 FT.


SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N
BETWEEN 55W AND 65W
.SYNOPSIS...A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRES WITH ITS CENTER OVER THE
EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA WILL DRIFTING NW THROUGH TUE.
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL AFFECT
MUCH OF THE NW CARIBBEAN AND YUCATAN CHANNEL THROUGH TUE. A
TROPICAL WAVE S OF 17N ALONG 57W IS MOVING W AT 15 TO 20 KT.
THE WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE TROPICAL N ATLC
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE ENTERING THE FAR EASTERN
CARIBBEAN TONIGHT. IT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REST OF THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN MON THROUGH TUE AS IT WEAKENS. A COLD FRONT WILL
PUSH INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN WED...AND REACH FROM CENTRAL CUBA
TO GULF OF HONDURAS BY LATE THU.

NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W
.TODAY...N OF 17N W OF 82W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT...EXCEPT 8 TO 11 FT YUCATAN
CHANNEL. ELSEWHERE SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT...EXCEPT W OF
82W S TO SW. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER NEAR
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS W OF 81W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
TSTMS E OF 81W.
.TONIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4
TO 6 FT...EXCEPT TO 8 FT NEAR YUCATAN CHANNEL. NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND SCATTERED TSTMS NW PORTION SUN AND SUN NIGHT.
.TUE...SE TO S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT...EXCEPT E OF 82W
2 TO 4 FT.
.WED...SE OF FRONT S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...BECOMING SE TO S
5 TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. NW OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 15
TO 20 KT...EXCEPT 20 TO 25 KT YUCATAN CHANNEL. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT
EXCEPT TO 9 FT NEAR YUCATAN CHANNEL. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED TSTMS ALONG FRONT.
.THU...NW OF FRONT N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT IN
N SWELL. SE OF FRONT N OF 18N E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2
TO 3 FT. SE OF FRONT S OF 18N W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15
KT...EXCEPT 20 TO 25 KT GULF OF HONDURAS. SEAS 2 TO 4
FT...EXCEPT 5 TO 8 FT GULF OF HONDURAS.


$$