000 FZNT25 KNHC 012135 OFFN04 NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 PM EDT THU SEP 01 2011 ...PLEASE REFER TO THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST AVAILABLE THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR A MORE DETAILED FORECAST WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE COASTLINE... SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS .SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRES WILL BUILD FROM THE CAROLINAS TO BERMUDA IN THE WAKE OF A WEAKENING TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN WATERS. THE HIGH PRES WILL WEAKEN SUN INTO MON...AHEAD OF THE APPROACH OF HURRICANE KATIA. KATIA IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE FAR E PART OF THE AREA NEAR 25.5N 65.0W. SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS ...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED E OF 68W TUE... .TONIGHT...N OF 27N W OF 74W NE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. N OF 27N E OF 74W SW TO W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. S OF 27N E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...EXCEPT NE 15 TO 20 KT NEAR WINDWARD PASSAGE. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT...EXCEPT 4 TO 6 FT NEAR WINDWARD PASSAGE AND 2 FT W OF BAHAMAS. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER IN AND NEAR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 27N W OF 74W. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ELSEWHERE S OF 28N. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N OF 27N W OF 72W NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT IN E SWELL. N OF 27N E OF 72W WINDS W TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. FROM 23N TO 27N SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT...EXCEPT 2 FT W OF BAHAMAS. S OF 23N SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT...DIMINISHING TO 5 KT FRI NIGHT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. SCATTERED TSTMS S OF 27N. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 27N. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N OF 27N W OF 74W NE TO E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT IN E SWELL. N OF 27N E OF 74W SW TO W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 5 FT. S OF 27N E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT...EXCEPT 1 FT W OF BAHAMAS. .SUN...E OF 72W SE TO S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 6 TO 7 FT IN SE SWELL. W OF 72W SE TO S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT...EXCEPT 1 FT W OF BAHAMAS. .MON...E OF 70W WINDS BECOMING N TO NE 10 TO 15 KT...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON AND TO 20 TO 30 KT E OF 68E LATE. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL...BUILDING TO 10 TO 16 FT IN NE SWELL LATE. .TUE...E OF 68W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER OF KATIA. HIGHEST WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. HIGHEST SEAS TO 25 FT. FROM 68W TO 71W N TO NE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. N OF 25N W OF 71W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT E OF BAHAMAS 1 TO 2 FT W OF BAHAMAS. S OF 25N W OF 71W E TO SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT E OF BAHAMAS 2 TO 3 FT W OF SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO .SYNOPSIS...TROUGH FROM 30N91W TO 24N91W WITH EMBEDDED LOW PRES 1010 MB...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...AT 27N91W. MODEL SOLUTIONS VARY GREATLY IN TRACKING AND TIMING OF LOW PRES AS IT MEANDERS OFF LOUISIANA COAST...WITH DIFFERENCES IN LANDFALL FROM FRI NIGHT ON THE GFS TO MON NIGHT ON THE ECMWF. WINDS INCREASE TO NEAR GALE FORCE WITHIN 150 NM OF E LOW PRES CENTER WITH SEAS TO 12 FT. LOW PRES ACCOMPANIED WITH EXTENSIVE AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY MOVE INLAND. MIDDLE GULF BETWEEN 85W AND 90W .TONIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT...N OF 27N E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. S OF 27N SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT FROM 23N TO 27N AND 4 TO 6 FT S OF 23N. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER NEAR NUMEROUS TSTMS ENTIRE AREA. .SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N OF 26N SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT BUILDING TO 15 SAT NIGHT. FROM 23N TO 26N S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. S OF 23N SE TO S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 7 FT. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER NEAR NUMEROUS TSTMS ENTIRE AREA. .SUN THROUGH TUE...N OF 28N S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT IN SE SWELL. FROM 24N TO 28N S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. S OF 24N SE TO S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. NUMEROUS TSTMS N PART. E GULF BETWEEN 81W AND 85W .TONIGHT...N OF 26N SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. S OF 26N E TO SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. WINDS AND SEAS HIGHER NEAR NUMEROUS TSTMS ENTIRE AREA. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 4 FT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS N OF 26N. .SAT THROUGH SUN...N OF 27N S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 8 FT. S OF 27N SE TO S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. .MON AND TUE...N OF 27N S WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. S OF 27N S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W .SYNOPSIS...KATIA HAS RECENTLY BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM NEAR 16.1N 49.2W...BUT IS FORECAST TO REINTENSIFY TO A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES TO 16.8N 51.0W OVERNIGHT...AND CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES TO 17.7N 52.9W FRI AFTERNOON...TO 18.7N 54.6W LATE FRI...TO THE NE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS NEAR 19.7N 56.1W BY SAT AFTERNOON...TO 21.6N 59.0W BY LATE SAT...AND N OF THE AREA TO 22.5N 62.0W BY LATE SUN. HIGH PRES OVER THE CAROLINAS WILL WEAKEN AS KATIA MOVES THROUGH THE ATLC...ALLOWING TRADE WINDS TO DIMINISH OVER THE CARIBBEAN NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W .TONIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT...S OF 18N W OF 83W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT. .SAT THROUGH MON...W OF 83W SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. ELSEWHERE SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. .TUE...W OF 80W SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. E OF 80W E TO SE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. $$