000 FZNT25 KNHC 041512 OFFN04 NAVTEX MARINE FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1130 AM EDT THU AUG 04 2011 ...PLEASE REFER TO THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST AVAILABLE THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER MEANS FOR A MORE DETAILED FORECAST WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF THE COASTLINE... SYNOPSIS FOR THE SW N ATLC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM EMILY CENTERED IN THE NORTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA IS FORECAST TO TRACK OVER THE WINDWARD PASSAGE NEAR 19N74W TONIGHT AND MOVE INTO THE SW NORTH ATLC NEAR 21.0N 75.5W FRI MORNING THEN WEST OF ANDROS ISLANDS BAHAMAS NEAR 25.0N 78.5W BY SAT MORNING AND N OF THE AREA SUN LATE. EMILY IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AFTER EMERGING INTO THE SW NORTH ATLC WATERS E OF FLORIDA THROUGH SUN THEN MOVE NORTH OF THE AREA SUN NIGHT. SW N ATLANTIC S OF 31N W OF 65W INCLUDING BAHAMAS ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING BETWEEN 74W AND 79W... .THIS AFTERNOON...S OF 24N E OF 76W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT. S OF 24N W OF 75W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. N OF 24N SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS S OF 25N E OF 74W. .TONIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 100 NM NE AND 75 NM SE QUADRANTS OF EMILY. HIGHEST WINDS 45 KT GUST TO 55 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE OF EMILY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. WITHIN 180 NM SE OF EMILY WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING 7 TO 9 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA S OF 24N E OF 77W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. S OF 24N W OF 77W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. N OF 24N SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. .FRI AND FRI NIGHT...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE...60 NM SE...AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF EMILY. HIGHEST WINDS 50 KT GUST TO 60 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE OF EMILY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. WITHIN 180 NM SE OF EMILY WINDS 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA S OF 27N E OF 78W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. S OF 27N W OF 78W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. N OF 27N SE TO S WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 6 FT. .SAT AND SUN...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE...80 NM SE...AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF EMILY. HIGHEST WINDS 60 KT GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT WITHIN AREA OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE OF EMILY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. WITHIN 240 NM SE OF EMILY WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. E OF 74W SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA W OF 74W WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 9 FT N OF EMILY AND 4 TO 6 FT S OF EMILY. .MON...N OF 28N W OF 75W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 12 TO 20 FT. N OF 28N E OF 75W S TO SW WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. S OF 28N SE TO S WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT E OF BAHAMAS AND 3 TO 6 FT W OF BAHAMAS. SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO .SYNOPSIS...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL REMAIN ALONG 25N/26N AND DOMINATE THE REGION THROUGH SAT. TROPICAL STORM EMILY IS FORECAST TO SLIP NORTHWARD BETWEEN 75W AND 80W SAT AND SUN AND DISRUPT THE RIDGE AXIS ACROSS THE SW NORTH ATLC. HIGH PRES RIDGE IS FORECAST TO RE-ESTABLISH WESTWARD FROM THE SW NORTH ATLC INTO THE CENTRAL GULF MON AS EMILY MOVES NE OF THE MIDDLE GULF BETWEEN 85W AND 90W .THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SAT...N OF 25N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. S OF 25N NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT EXCEPT TO 15 KT S OF 22N EACH EVENING. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 25N E OF 88W THROUGH THU. .SUN AND MON...N OF 25N S TO SW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 3 FT. S OF 25N SE TO S WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. E GULF BETWEEN 81W AND 85W .THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS N OF 25N THROUGH THU. .SAT...N OF 26N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 2 FT. S OF 26N VARIABLE WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. .SUN...N OF 25N W TO NW WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. S OF 25N S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. .MON...N OF 25N W WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. S OF 25N S TO SW WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FT. SYNOPSIS FOR CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC FROM 07N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W .SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM EMILY NEAR 17.3N 72.3W AT 1500 UTC MOVING WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. MINIMUM PRESSURE IS 1004 MB. EMILY WILL MOVE TO NEAR 18.6N 73.2W THIS EVENING THEN INTO THE SW NORTH ATLC FRI MORNING NEAR 21.0N 75.5W TRACKING W OF ANDROS ISLAND SAT MORNING. RIDGING NE OF THE AREA WILL INCREASE EASTERLY TRADES IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN FRI THROUGH MON. NW CARIBBEAN N OF 15N W OF 75W .TODAY THROUGH FRI NIGHT...W OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 5 TO 10 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FT. E OF 80W NE TO E WINDS 10 TO 15 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 KT E OF 78W FRI NIGHT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT BUILDING TO 5 TO 8 FT E OF 78W FRI NIGHT. .SAT...S OF 18N E OF 80W E TO SE WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL. N OF 18N E OF 80W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. W OF 80W E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT BUILDING TO 4 TO 7 FT S OF 18N E OF 82W LATE SAT. .SUN AND MON...S OF 18N E OF 82W E WINDS 15 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL. ELSEWHERE E TO SE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT. $$