000 AGXX40 KNHC 150340 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1040 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas ...GULF OF MEXICO... A 1012 mb low is along a frontal boundary over the NE Gulf waters. These features will continue weakening tonight. To the west, a 1009 mb low is centered near 24N95W, with trough extending from 27N96W to 21N93W. Winds will begin to increase over the western Gulf tonight in the vicinity if the low. A cold front will form overnight and extend southward from the low pressure and move eastward across the basin. Gale force northerly winds are expected in the northwestern and west-central Gulf late tonight through Monday evening to the west of the low pressure and behind the front. Winds and seas will diminish across the region by early Tue. The next cold front will enter the western Gulf late Wed, then exit east of the basin by Fri afternoon. Strong to near gale force winds are likely to precede and follow this front across the basin, with gale force winds possible off Veracruz Thu. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... High pressure north of the area will maintain fresh to strong trade winds across the central and eastern Caribbean through the middle of this week. By that time, winds off Colombia will pulse to near gale force at night, with gales possible Tue night and Wed night. SE winds will increase in the Gulf of Honduras on Wed night/early Thu also as a strong cold front approaches from the Gulf of Mexico. The cold front is expected to enter the NW Caribbean Fri, with strong N winds behind the front. Large north swell will continue to affect the tropical N Atlantic waters, to the east of the Lesser Antilles, through the middle of this week. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... High pressure over the region will support fresh to strong winds north of Hispaniola through Thu night. Fresh to strong S winds are expected east of northern Florida Mon night and Tue ahead of a cold front that will move off Florida on Tue. The front will become stationary Tue night from 31N74W to West Palm Beach Florida before lifting north and dissipating Wed night. Winds will increase from N of Hispaniola through the Bahamas and east of Florida early Thu as a cold front moves E through the Gulf of Mexico. This cold front will move E of Florida early Fri, and extend from 31N71W to central Cuba Fri evening. Fresh to strong winds will follow the front. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ011...NW GULF INCLUDING STETSON BANK... Gale Warning tonight into Mon. .GMZ013...N CENTRAL GULF INCLUDING FLOWER GARDEN BANKS MARINE SANCTUARY... Gale Warning Mon. .GMZ017...W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W... Gale Warning tonight into Mon. .GMZ019...CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 87W AND 94W... Gale Warning Mon. .GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W... GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Thu into Thu night. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... .AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN... GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Tue night. GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Wed night. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... None. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster ERA. National Hurricane Center.