000 AGXX40 KNHC 131901 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 301 PM EDT Sun Sep 13 2020 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas ...GULF OF MEXICO... Tropical Storm Sally near 27.5N 84.9W 996 mb at 11 AM EDT moving WNW at 10 kt. Maximum sustained winds 50 kt gusts 60 kt. Sally will move to 28.0N 86.6W this evening, strengthen to a hurricane near 28.5N 88.2W Mon morning, then reach near 28.9N 89.4W Mon evening. Hurricane Sally will move inland to 29.7N 90.2W Tue morning and weaken to a tropical storm near 30.3N 90.5W Tue evening. Sally will be near 31.5N 90.3W Wed morning, then weaken to a tropical depression over Mississippi early Thu. Otherwise, a surface trough over the western Gulf of Mexico will move southwest through the middle of next week with low chance of tropical cyclone formation. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... Moderate trade winds will prevail in the central and eastern Caribbean through late Tue. Surface ridging will establish over the SW Atlantic waters by mid-week, resulting in moderate to fresh trades in the central and eastern Caribbean. Moderate southeast winds are expected to continue in the NW basin through Tue. Otherwise, large swell associated with current Tropical Depression Twenty is forecast to affect the tropical Atlantic waters E of the Leeward Islands by the middle of the week. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... Hurricane Paulette near 29.9N 61.9W 976 mb at 11 AM EDT moving NW at 12 kt. Maximum sustained winds 70 kt gusts 85 kt. Paulette will move to 30.9N 63.6W this evening, 32.8N 64.8W Mon morning, 35.0N 63.5W Mon evening, 37.0N 60.0W Tue morning, 39.1N 55.1W Tue evening, and 41.4N 49.1W Wed morning. Large swell associated with Paulette will spread westward across the offshore waters and continue to build seas early this week. Tropical Depression Twenty near 12.3N 36.4W 1006 mb at 11 AM EDT moving WNW at 9 kt. Maximum sustained winds 30 kt gusts 40 kt. Twenty will strengthen to a tropical storm near 12.8N 38.0W this evening, then move to 13.3N 40.6W Mon morning. Tropical Storm Twenty will be near 13.7N 43.0W Mon evening, then strengthen to a hurricane near 14.4N 45.1W Tue morning. Hurricane Twenty will be near 15.3N 46.7W Tue evening and 16.3N 48.2W Wed morning. Twenty will change little in intensity as it moves to near area Atlantic waters well east of the Leeward Islands early Thu. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ013...N CENTRAL GULF INCLUDING FLOWER GARDEN BANKS MARINE SANCTUARY... Tropical Storm Warning tonight into Mon. .GMZ015...NE GULF N OF 25N E OF 87W... Tropical Storm Warning today into tonight. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... None. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... Tropical Storm Warning today into tonight. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster KONARIK. National Hurricane Center.