000 AGXX40 KNHC 141615 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1115 AM EST Thu Nov 14 2019 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas ...GULF OF MEXICO... A stationary front from the upper Florida Keys to the Yucatan Peninsula will gradually become ill defined late today. A new cold front will move into the N Gulf this afternoon and progress southeastward through the basin before exiting late Fri. Weak low pressure is expected to form along this front tonight over the NE Gulf then move across the northern Florida Peninsula Fri. Gale force N winds are expected behind the front over SW portions late tonight through Fri night. Another cold front may move into the western Gulf late Sun through Mon. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... A stationary front from the Florida Keys to Yucatan Peninsula will begin to drift NW-N and gradually dissipate today. A cold front will move into the far NW Caribbean late Fri, then gradually stall from eastern Cuba to Nicaragua Sun. The remnants of the front will linger roughly along 80W for the start of next week. Fresh to strong N winds will follow this next cold front as it moves across the NW Caribbean. Otherwise, a weak pres gradient across the basin will lead to generally moderate tradewinds. NE swell will impact the Atlantic and Caribbean passages Fri into early next week. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... A stationary front from 28N65W to the NW Bahamas and upper Florida Keys will gradually weaken and begin to drift northward to the W of 70W this afternoon through tonight. Strong E-NE winds occurring north of the front will diminish to fresh this afternoon, and decrease further tonight. Low pressure is expected to develop off the NE Florida coast on Fri then drift NE and deepen over the weekend off the coast of the Carolinas, then move NE and exit the region late Sun through Mon. This low will drag a cold front through areas W of 70W through the weekend. Gale force winds are possible this weekend behind the front, mainly N of 28N. Recent GFS and UKMET solutions were very similar with low so have used GFS has base for this forecast. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ017...W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W... Gale Warning tonight into Fri. .GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W... Gale Warning Fri. GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Fri night. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... None. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W... GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Sat night into Sun. .AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W... GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Sat night into Sun. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster Stripling. National Hurricane Center.