000 AGXX40 KNHC 180700 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 300 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2019 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas ...GULF OF MEXICO... Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen near 24.1N 93.2W 1004 mb at 0600 UTC moving NE at 10 kt. Maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt. PTC Sixteen will continue moving NE overnight, reaching near 26.0N 91.1W Fri morning as a Tropical Storm, then gradually expand in size and strengthen prior to making landfall in the western Florida Panhandle near 30.2N 86.1W Sat morning. Marine conditions will improve rapidly across the basin Sat night and Sun as the cyclone accelerates off to the NE into the W Atlc. A cold front will reach the NW Gulf Mon night, and extend across the basin from northern Florida to NE Mexico on Tue night. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... Moderate to fresh trade winds are expected across the basin through the weekend, with fresh SE winds likely near the Yucatan Channel through Sat as Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen moves NE across the Gulf of Mexico. A tropical wave moving across the Lesser Antilles this morning will be accompanied by very active weather as it moves W across the eastern Caribbean through Sat. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... A weakening cold front extending from 31N66W to central Florida will move eastward into the central Atlantic through tonight. Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen in the SW Gulf of Mexico will move NE across the SE U.S. this weekend, and produce strong to near gale force southerly winds ahead of it across NW Atlc waters tonight through Sun night. Weak high pressure will prevail over the area Mon and Tue. A cold front will move off the coast of northern Florida Tue night. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ013...N CENTRAL GULF INCLUDING FLOWER GARDEN BANKS MARINE SANCTUARY... Tropical Storm Warning today into tonight. .GMZ015...NE GULF N OF 25N E OF 87W... Tropical Storm Warning tonight. .GMZ019...CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 87W AND 94W... Tropical Storm Warning today. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... None. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... None. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster Mundell. National Hurricane Center.