000
AGXX40 KNHC 171746
MIMATS

Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
146 PM EDT Thu Oct 17 2019

Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

...GULF OF MEXICO...

Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen near 22.4N 95.7W 1007 mb at
11 AM EDT moving N at 7 kt. Maximum sustained winds 30 kt gusts
40 kt. Sixteen will move to 23.7N 94.2W this evening, 25.8N
91.0W Fri morning, 28.5N 88.0W Fri evening, become extratropical
and move to 30.9N 85.0W Sat morning, and 35.5N 77.2W Sun
morning. Sixteen will change little in intensity as it moves to
the 37.5N 70.0W early Mon, and continue to the 38.0N 66.5W Tue. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

Moderate to fresh trade winds are expected across the basin
through the weekend, with fresh SE winds likely across NW
portions Fri and Sat as low pressure deepens across the Gulf of
Mexico. A tropical wave will reach the Lesser Antilles today,
and move across the eastern Caribbean on Fri. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms will accompany this wave.  

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

A cold front extending from 31N75W to central  Florida will push
eastward into the central Atlantic through Fri  night, but stall
and weaken east of Florida by Fri morning. A developing area of
low pressure in the NE Gulf of Mexico will  move across the SE
U.S. this weekend, and is likely to produce  strong southerly
winds ahead of the low across NW Atlc waters.   

$$

.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
.GMZ013...N CENTRAL GULF INCLUDING FLOWER GARDEN BANKS MARINE
SANCTUARY...
     Tropical Storm Warning tonight into Fri night. 
.GMZ015...NE GULF N OF 25N E OF 87W...
     Tropical Storm Warning Fri into Fri night. 
.GMZ017...W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W...
     Tropical Storm Warning tonight.
.GMZ019...CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 87W AND 94W...
     Tropical Storm Warning tonight into Fri. 

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     None.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
.AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W...
     GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Sat night.

$$

*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

$$

.Forecaster CAM. National Hurricane Center.