000
AGXX40 KNHC 131826
MIMATS

Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
226 PM EDT Sun Oct 13 2019

Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A weak 1013 mb low is centered near 26N94W in the NW Gulf of
Mexico. A warm front extends from the low eastward to 28N93W,
where the front becomes stationary to 30N88W. Southward from the
low, a stationary front extends to 19N96W. The warm front along
the N Gulf will continue moving northward and will retreat back
over the SE United States by Mon. The stationary front in the W
Gulf should dissipate by Mon. Winds and seas should be quiescent
for the next few days over the Gulf. On Wed, a weak cold front
will reach the NW Gulf and move to the east with little wind or
wave impacts. On Thu, a trough may move across Central America
and reach the SW Gulf. This system has a low chance currently of
becoming a tropical cyclone. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

Broad low pressure over the SW Caribbean will slowly move
west-northwestward toward Central America during the next few
days. Fresh to strong E to SE winds are likely mainly over the
northwest part of the Caribbean between the Yucatan Peninsula
and Honduras late Mon into Tue as a surface trough is likely to
form in that general area. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms will continue over much of the western Caribbean
through late Tue. The low pressure system has a low chance of
developing into a tropical cyclone in the next two days, while
it is over the western Caribbean. 

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

A weakening stationary front extends from 25N65W
west-southwestward over the central Bahamas to 23N79W. The front
will dissipate by this evening. In its wake, the Bermuda high
will become established along 32N, maintaining relatively quiet
conditions through Tue. Beginning Wed morning, moderate to
strong SW winds ahead of a cold front will develop east of
northern Florida. The cold front will reach the waters east of
northern Florida Thu morning and will extend from about 31N67W
to southern Florida by Thu night. N winds behind the cold front
are  anticipated to be only moderate to fresh. Seas should
generally remain below 8 ft for the next several days over the
area. No tropical cyclone activity is expected for the next
several days as well.  

$$

.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     None.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     None.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     None.

$$

*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

$$

.Forecaster Landsea. National Hurricane Center.