000 AGXX40 KNHC 260839 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 439 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2019 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas ...GULF OF MEXICO... A surface trough over the Central Gulf and Yucatan Peninsula will move slowly westward across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days before it reaches the northeast coast of Mexico Sat. Elsewhere, high pressure will prevail. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... A fairly weak pressure pattern with light and variable winds and low seas will prevail across the western and central Caribbean through this afternoon, with more typical conditions and trades returning by the end of the week. A tropical wave will move across the tropical N Atlc on Fri, then through the eastern to central Caribbean this weekend, reaching the western Caribbean early next week. Swells from Hurricane Lorenzo which will remain E of the region will propagate through the tropical N Atlc and E Caribbean passages this weekend into early next week. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... Tropical Storm Karen near 25.5N 63.5W 1004 mb at 5 AM EDT moving NNE at 13 kt. Maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt. Karen will move to 27.0N 62.9W this afternoon, 27.9N 61.5W Fri morning, 28.0N 60.3W Fri afternoon, 27.9N 60.1W Sat morning, and weaken to a tropical depression near 27.3N 62.5W Sun morning. Karen will become a remnant low as it moves to 27.0N 65.2W early Mon, and continue to near 26.8N 67.4W early Tue. Meanwhile, high pressure will build down from off the Carolinas to the Bahamas this weekend into early next week tightening the pressure gradient. Winds and seas will increase and build by the end of the weekend into early next week as a result. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... None. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... None. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... None. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster Lewitsky. National Hurricane Center.