000 AGXX40 KNHC 251800 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2019 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas ...GULF OF MEXICO... A surface trough across the Yucatan Peninsula will move slowly westward across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days before it reaches the northeast coast of Mexico Sat. Elsewhere, high pressure ridging over the northern Gulf waters will begin to shift eastward on Thu. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... Tropical Storm Karen near 21.7N 64.9W 1003 mb at 11 AM EDT moving N at 13 kt. Maximum sustained winds 40 kt gusts 50 kt. Karen will move to 23.4N 64.4W this evening, 25.4N 63.7W Thu morning, 26.9N 62.9W Thu evening with maximum sustained winds 50 kt gusts to 60 kt, then increase slightly in strength as it reaches to near 27.5N 62.0W Fri morning, and 26.8N 62.0W Sat morning. Karen will change little in intensity as it moves to near 26.0N 65.0W early Sun, and continue to the near 25.5N 68.5W early on Mon. Otherwise, a fairly weak pressure pattern with light and variable winds and low seas will prevail across the western and central Caribbean through Thu, with more typical conditions and trades returning by the end of the week. A tropical wave will quickly move across the tropical N Atlc by the end of the week, through the eastern Caribbean Sat, and central Caribbean Sun. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... Tropical Storm Karen near 21.7N 64.9W 1003 mb at 11 AM EDT moving N at 13 kt. Maximum sustained winds 40 kt gusts 50 kt. Karen will move to 23.4N 64.4W this evening, 25.4N 63.7W Thu morning, 26.9N 62.9W Thu evening with maximum sustained winds 50 kt gusts to 60 kt, then increase slightly in strength as it reaches to near 27.5N 62.0W Fri morning, and 26.8N 62.0W Sat morning. Karen will change little in intensity as it moves to near 26.0N 65.0W early Sun, and continue to the near 25.5N 68.5W early on Mon. Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry north of area near 32.0N 66.8W 998 mb at 11 AM EDT moving ENE at 9 kt. Maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt. Jerry will become post-tropical and move to 32.6N 65.1W this evening, 33.4N 62.9W Thu morning, 34.3N 60.4W Thu evening, 34.9N 58.0W Fri morning, and 33.8N 54.5W Sat morning. Jerry will dissipate early Sun. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... None. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... None. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ121...ATLANTIC FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... Tropical Storm Warning today. .AMZ125...ATLANTIC S OF 22N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W INCLUDING PUERTO RICO TRENCH... Tropical Storm Warning today. .AMZ127...ATLANTIC FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... Tropical Storm Warning today. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster Aguirre. National Hurricane Center.