000 AGXX40 KNHC 250858 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 458 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2019 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas ...GULF OF MEXICO... A surface trough across the Yucatan Peninsula will move slowly westward across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days before it reaches the northeast coast of Mexico Sat. Elsewhere high pressure will prevail. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... Tropical Storm Karen near 20.5N 65.2W 1003 mb at 5 AM EDT moving N at 12 kt. Maximum sustained winds 40 kt gusts 50 kt. Karen will move to 22.3N 64.5W this afternoon, 24.5N 63.9W Thu morning, 26.4N 63.2W Thu afternoon, 27.3N 62.5W Fri morning, and 27.1N 61.9W Sat morning. Karen will change little in intensity as it moves to 26.3N 64.4W early Sun, and continue to 25.9N 67.8W early Mon. Otherwise, a fairly weak pressure pattern with light and variable winds and low seas will prevail across the western and central Caribbean through Thu, with more typical conditions and trades returning by the end of the week. A tropical wave will quickly move across the tropical N Atlc by the end of the week, through the eastern Caribbean Sat, and central Caribbean Sun. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry near 31.8N 67.9W 997 mb at 5 AM EDT moving NE at 6 kt. Maximum sustained winds 40 kt gusts 50 kt. Jerry will move to 32.3N 66.5W this afternoon, 33.0N 64.2W Thu morning, 33.9N 61.7W Thu afternoon, 34.6N 59.3W Fri morning, and 34.0N 55.5W Sat morning. Jerry will dissipate early Sun. Tropical Storm Karen near 20.5N 65.2W 1003 mb at 5 AM EDT moving N at 12 kt. Maximum sustained winds 40 kt gusts 50 kt. Karen will move to 22.3N 64.5W this afternoon, 24.5N 63.9W Thu morning, 26.4N 63.2W Thu afternoon, 27.3N 62.5W Fri morning, and 27.1N 61.9W Sat morning. Karen will change little in intensity as it moves to 26.3N 64.4W early Sun, and continue to 25.9N 67.8W early Mon. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... None. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... None. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ121...ATLANTIC FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... Tropical Storm Warning today. .AMZ125...ATLANTIC S OF 22N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W INCLUDING PUERTO RICO TRENCH... Tropical Storm Warning early today into today. .AMZ127...ATLANTIC FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... Tropical Storm Warning early today into today. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster Lewitsky. National Hurricane Center.