000 AGXX40 KNHC 250602 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 202 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2019 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas ...GULF OF MEXICO... A surface trough across the Yucatan Peninsula will move slowly westward across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days before it reaches the northeast coast of Mexico Sat. Elsewhere high pressure will prevail. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... Tropical Storm Karen is centered near 19.8N 65.1W at 25/0600 UTC or 90 nm N of St. Thomas moving N at 12 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt. Karen will move to 20.8N 64.6W later this morning, 23.2N 64.0W this evening, 25.5N 63.4W Thu morning, 27.0N 62.5W Thu evening, and 26.8N 61.5W Fri evening. Karen will change little in intensity as it moves to 26.5N 61.5W late Sat, and to 26.0N 65.5W Sun. Otherwise, a fairly weak pressure pattern with light and variable winds and low seas will prevail across the western and central Caribbean through Thu, with more typical conditions and trades returning by the end of the week. A tropical wave will quickly move across the tropical N Atlc by the end of the week, through the eastern Caribbean Sat, and central Caribbean Sun. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... Tropical Storm Jerry is centered N of the area near 31.6N 68.4W at 25/0600 UTC or 190 nm WSW of Bermuda moving NE at 4 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt. Jerry will move to 32.2N 67.3W later this morning, 33.0N 64.9W this evening, weaken to a remnant low near 33.8N 62.3W Thu morning, continuing to 34.4N 59.9W Thu evening, and 34.0N 56.5W Fri evening. Jerry will dissipate late Sat. Tropical Storm Karen is centered near 19.8N 65.1W at 25/0600 UTC or 90 nm N of St. Thomas moving N at 12 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt. Karen will move to 20.8N 64.6W later this morning, 23.2N 64.0W this evening, 25.5N 63.4W Thu morning, 27.0N 62.5W Thu evening, and 26.8N 61.5W Fri evening. Karen will change little in intensity as it moves to 26.5N 61.5W late Sat, and to 26.0N 65.5W Sun. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... None. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... None. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... Tropical Storm Warning early today. .AMZ125...ATLANTIC S OF 22N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W INCLUDING PUERTO RICO TRENCH... Tropical Storm Warning early today into today. .AMZ127...ATLANTIC FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... Tropical Storm Warning early today into today. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster Lewitsky. National Hurricane Center.