000 AGXX40 KNHC 240854 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 454 AM EDT Tue Sep 24 2019 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas ...GULF OF MEXICO... Fresh NE to E winds and seas to near 8 ft from the Florida Straits to offshore of the Yucatan Peninsula will diminish and subside slightly this morning as a weaker pressure gradient between E to W ridging across the northern portion of the basin, and a surface trough across the Yucatan Peninsula weakens. Weak low pressure may form along the trough while it moves slowly westward across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days before it reaches the NE coast of Mexico late Fri or Sat. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... Tropical Storm Karen near 16.8N 65.8W 1006 mb at 5 AM EDT moving N at 6 kt. Maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt. Karen will move to near or over Puerto Rico at 18.1N 65.9W this afternoon, 20.1N 65.5W Wed morning, continuing N of the basin to 22.6N 64.7W Wed afternoon, 24.6N 64.0W Thu morning, and 27.3N 62.7W Fri morning. Karen will change little in intensity as it moves to early Sat, and continue to the 27.7N 65.5W early Sun. Otherwise, a fairly weak pressure pattern with light and variable winds and low seas will prevail across the western and central Caribbean through Thu, with more typical conditions and trades returning by the end of the week. A tropical wave will reach the Tropical N Atlantic waters by the end of the week, moving through the eastern Caribbean for the start of the weekend. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... Tropical Storm Jerry near 29.8N 68.4W 993 mb at 5 AM EDT moving N at 7 kt. Maximum sustained winds 50 kt gusts 60 kt. Jerry will move to 30.6N 68.4W this afternoon, move N of the area to 31.7N 67.0W Wed morning, 32.7N 64.6W Wed afternoon, weaken to a tropical depression near 33.6N 61.9W Thu morning, and become a remnant low and move to 34.9N 56.9W Fri morning. Tropical Storm Karen near 16.8N 65.8W 1006 mb at 5 AM EDT moving N at 6 kt. Maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt. Karen will move to near or over Puerto Rico at 18.1N 65.9W this afternoon, 20.1N 65.5W Wed morning, to 22.6N 64.7W Wed afternoon, 24.6N 64.0W Thu morning, and 27.3N 62.7W Fri morning. Karen will change little in intensity as it moves to early Sat, and continue to the 27.7N 65.5W early Sun. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... None. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... .AMZ023...CARIBBEAN N OF 15N BETWEEN 64W AND 72W... Tropical Storm Warning early today. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... Tropical Storm Warning early today into tonight. .AMZ121...ATLANTIC FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... Tropical Storm Warning Wed. .AMZ125...ATLANTIC S OF 22N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W INCLUDING PUERTO RICO TRENCH... Tropical Storm Warning tonight into Wed. .AMZ127...ATLANTIC FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... Tropical Storm Warning tonight into Wed. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster Lewitsky. National Hurricane Center.