000 AGXX40 KNHC 231530 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1130 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2019 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas ...GULF OF MEXICO... Fresh to strong NE to E winds and seas to 8 ft will still continue through the Straits of Florida to offshore of the Yucatan Peninsula through Tue morning. Conditions will gradually improve as the pressure gradient between high pressure to the N and lower pressure associated with a frontal trough across the Straits weakens. New high pressure will develop along the northern Gulf tonight, then will slowly lift N by the end of the week. Otherwise, a weak NW to SE trough will extend from the W central Gulf to the Yucatan Peninsula through much of the week. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... Tropical Storm Karen near 14.9N 64.8W 1007 mb at 1500 UTC moving N-NW at 10 kt. Maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt. Karen will continue NNW towards the E coast of Puerto Rico, reaching near 17.7N 65.8W Tue morning, then cross the local islands and move northward into the Atlc, reaching near 21.9N 65.7W Wed morning, then continue northward through Thu. Little change in intensity is expected while moving through the Caribbean. Otherwise, a fairly weak pressure pattern with light and variable winds and low seas will prevail across the western and central Caribbean through Thu, with more typical conditions and trades returning by the end of the week. A tropical wave will reach the Tropical N Atlantic waters by the end of the week. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... Tropical Storm Jerry near 28.1N 68.0W 991 mb at 1500 UTC moving NNW at 6 kt. Maximum sustained winds 55 kt gusts 65 kt. Jerry will continue northward, reaching near 30.4N 68.4W Tue morning, and exit the area waters reaching near 33.3N 65.0W Wed morning before accelerating to the NE. Tropical Storm Karen across the SE Caribbean will move northward and across eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, reaching near 17.7N 65.8W Tue morning, near 21.9N 65.7W Wed morning, near 27.0N 65.8W Thu morning, and then begin to veer westward towards the NW Bahamas. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... None. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... .AMZ023...CARIBBEAN N OF 15N BETWEEN 64W AND 72W... Tropical Storm Warning today into tonight. .AMZ025...OFFSHORE WATERS LEEWARD ISLANDS... Tropical Storm Warning today. .AMZ033...CARIBBEAN S OF 15N BETWEEN 64W AND 72W INCLUDING VENEZUELA BASIN... Tropical Storm Warning today. .AMZ035...OFFSHORE WATERS WINDWARD ISLANDS INCLUDING TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO... Tropical Storm Warning today. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... Tropical Storm Warning today into Tue night. .AMZ125...ATLANTIC S OF 22N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W INCLUDING PUERTO RICO TRENCH... Tropical Storm Warning Tue night. .AMZ127...ATLANTIC FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... Tropical Storm Warning Tue night. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster Stripling. National Hurricane Center.