163 AGXX40 KNHC 230854 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 454 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2019 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas ...GULF OF MEXICO... Fresh to strong NE to E winds and seas to 8 ft will still be possible in and near the Straits of Florida through the early morning. These winds and seas will gradually improve as the pressure gradient between high pressure to the N and lower pressure associated with a frontal trough across the Straits weakens. New high pressure will develop along the northern Gulf tonight, then will slowly lift N by the end of the week. Otherwise, a weak NW to SE trough will extend from the W central Gulf to the Yucatan Peninsula through much of the week. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... Tropical Storm Karen near 13.6N 63.9W 1007 mb at 5 AM EDT moving NW at 7 kt. Maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt. Karen will move to 14.5N 64.6W this afternoon, 16.1N 65.2W Tue morning, 18.0N 65.6W Tue afternoon, 20.1N 65.5W Wed morning, and 24.6N 64.9W Thu morning. Karen will change little in intensity as it moves 26.5N 65.5W early Fri, and continue to 27.0N 67.0W early Sat. Otherwise, a fairly weak pressure pattern with light and variable winds and low seas will prevail across the western and central Caribbean through Thu, with more typical conditions and trades returning by the end of the week as high pressure builds N of the area in the wake of Karen. A tropical wave may reach the Tropical N Atlantic waters by the end of the week. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... Tropical Storm Jerry near 27.8N 67.7W 993 mb at 5 AM EDT moving NNW at 8 kt. Maximum sustained winds 55 kt gusts 65 kt. Jerry will move to 28.6N 68.1W this afternoon, 30.1N 68.5W Tue morning, N of the area to 31.3N 68.3W Tue afternoon, 32.6N 66.5W Wed morning, and 35.5N 60.0W Thu morning. Jerry will change little in intensity as it continues farther N-NE away from the basin. Tropical Storm Karen near 13.6N 63.9W 1007 mb at 5 AM EDT moving NW at 7 kt. Maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt. Karen will move to 14.5N 64.6W this afternoon, 16.1N 65.2W Tue morning, 18.0N 65.6W Tue afternoon, 20.1N 65.5W Wed morning, and 24.6N 64.9W Thu morning. Karen will change little in intensity as it moves 26.5N 65.5W early Fri, and continue to 27.0N 67.0W early Sat. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... None. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... .AMZ023...CARIBBEAN N OF 15N BETWEEN 64W AND 72W... Tropical Storm Warning today into Tue. .AMZ033...CARIBBEAN S OF 15N BETWEEN 64W AND 72W INCLUDING VENEZUELA BASIN... Tropical Storm Warning early today into today. .AMZ035...OFFSHORE WATERS WINDWARD ISLANDS INCLUDING TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO... Tropical Storm Warning early today into today. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... Tropical Storm Warning early today into Tue. .AMZ121...ATLANTIC FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... Tropical Storm Warning early today. .AMZ125...ATLANTIC S OF 22N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W INCLUDING PUERTO RICO TRENCH... Tropical Storm Warning Tue night. .AMZ127...ATLANTIC FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... Tropical Storm Warning Tue night. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster Lewitsky. National Hurricane Center.