000 AGXX40 KNHC 210646 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 246 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2019 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas ...GULF OF MEXICO... High pressure centered over the Carolinas will dominate the Gulf waters through Sun. The pressure gradient will tighten over the eastern Gulf through Sun morning, resulting in fresh to strong easterly winds and building seas to 8 to 10 ft. New high pressure will develop over the northern Gulf by early next week with the pressure gradient slackening, and wind and sea conditions improving through the middle of the week. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... Jerry has weakened to a tropical storm and is centered near 21.0N 63.5W at 21/0600 UTC or 210 nm NE of San Juan Puerto Rico moving WNW at 14 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 55 kt with gusts to 65 kt. The official forecast still has Jerry moving to 21.2N 64.8W later this morning while becoming a hurricane again, 22.6N 66.6W this evening, 24.0N 68.1W Sun morning, 25.3N 68.7W Sun evening, and 27.9N 68.2W Mon evening. Jerry will change little in intensity as it moves to near 30.8N 66.3W late Tue, and continue N of the area to near 34.5N 62.1W Wed. A broad area of low pressure located just S of Haiti continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Locally heavy rainfall may produce flash flooding and mudslides over portions of Hispaniola, Jamaica and Cuba through the weekend. A tropical wave that will approach the Windward Islands this weekend has a chance of developing into a tropical cyclone. Heavy rainfall is possible over much of the Lesser Antilles over the weekend. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... Jerry has weakened to a tropical storm and is centered near 21.0N 63.5W at 21/0600 UTC or 210 nm NE of San Juan Puerto Rico moving WNW at 14 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 55 kt with gusts to 65 kt. The official forecast still has Jerry moving to 21.2N 64.8W later this morning while becoming a hurricane again, 22.6N 66.6W this evening, 24.0N 68.1W Sun morning, 25.3N 68.7W Sun evening, and 27.9N 68.2W Mon evening. Jerry will change little in intensity as it moves to near 30.8N 66.3W late Tue, and continue N of the area to near 34.5N 62.1W Wed. Meanwhile, large remnant northerly swell will continue to impact the Atlantic forecast waters N and E of the Bahamas through the weekend. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... None. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... None. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... Tropical Storm Warning Sun night. .AMZ121...ATLANTIC FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... Hurricane Warning today into Sun night. .AMZ125...ATLANTIC S OF 22N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W INCLUDING PUERTO RICO TRENCH... Hurricane Warning today. .AMZ127...ATLANTIC FROM 19N TO 22N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... Hurricane Warning today. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster Lewitsky. National Hurricane Center.