460 AGXX40 KNHC 241735 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 135 PM EDT Sat Aug 24 2019 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas ...GULF OF MEXICO... Weak high pressure of 1015 mb centered near 28N87W will be replaced by a high pressure that will lift northward from Cuba to the SE Gulf by the middle part of next week. The related gradient will maintain moderate to fresh south to southeast over the waters west of 90W and mainly light to gentle winds continue east of 90W during the period. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... Fresh to strong trade winds over the south-central Caribbean will gradually increase in areal coverage through Mon. Fresh to strong east to southeast winds will pulse over the Gulf of Honduras at night Mon through Wed. Newly formed Tropical Depression Five near 10.4N 47.9W 1010 mb at 11 AM EDT is moving W at 10 kt. Maximum sustained winds 30 kt gusts 35 kt. The depression will move to near 10.7N 49.4W this evening, strengthen to a tropical storm near 11.0N 51.4W Sun morning with maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt, reach to near 11.4N 53.5W Sun evening, and continue to gradually intensify as it reaches to near 12.0N 55.5W Mon morning with maximum sustained winds 45 kt gusts to 55 kt, to near 13.6N 59.3W Tue morning. It is forecast to intensify to a minimal hurricane as it moves into the eastern Caribbean Sea near 15.2N 63.1W early Wed with maximum sustained winds 65 kt gusts to 80 kt. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... A weak area of low pressure over S Florida will track north- northeastward over the Florida peninsula today and tonight to offshore the east-central coast of Florida Sun. This system will continue to bring scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, some with strong gusty winds and rough seas, over the waters west of 72W the next few days. Environmental conditions are expected to become conducive for tropical cyclone development of this system once it moves back over the Atlantic waters. Otherwise, gentle to moderate southeasterly winds will continue across the area under a relatively weak pressure pattern. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... None. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... .AMZ037...TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 15N BETWEEN 55W AND 65W... Tropical Storm Warning Sun night into Mon. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... None. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster Aguirre. National Hurricane Center.