000 AGXX40 KNHC 160805 CCA MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 400 AM EDT Fri Aug 16 2019 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas ...GULF OF MEXICO... The combination of a pre-frontal trough over the NE Gulf ahead of stationary front located over the southern U.S. and a mid- level trough over the eastern part of the Gulf and along with very deep tropical moisture in place continues to result in scattered showers and thunderstorms over the Gulf waters north of 24N E of about 86W. Some of this activity may contain strong gusty winds causing rough seas. The front will extend from the Florida Panhandle to southeastern Texas by early Fri, then will weaken into a surface trough Sat. Moderate to fresh southwest winds are expected over the NE Gulf ahead of the front and trough. Winds will pulse to fresh over the western Yucatan Peninsula adjacent waters each evening associated with a surface trough, except pulse to fresh to strong speeds beginning on Sat. Otherwise, Atlantic high pressure will build westward across the area early Sat and prevail through Tue. Beyond the forecast period, the northern portion of tropical wave may move from the western Caribbean Sea and across the southern part of the Gulf late next week attendant by a broad surge of moisture across the much of the southern and southwestern Gulf. Future forecasts will reference this feature in detail as conditions warrant. Please see the latest Tropical Weather Outlooks from the NHC during the next several days for possible references to this feature. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... A tropical wave with axis near 75W will move across the rest of the central Caribbean through this afternoon and across the western Caribbean tonight through early Sat night. The gradient behind this wave supported by high pressure north of the area will continue to support fresh to strong east winds over the central and southwestern Caribbean through Fri. These winds will then shift to the far western and northwestern Caribbean Sat through Sun night. Strong east winds are expected to pulse across the Gulf of Honduras through Sun. Fresh to strong winds will resume over the south-central Caribbean beginning on Mon supported by the passage of a new tropical wave moving across that section of the Caribbean. Expect plenty of deep tropical moisture to be confined over the western Caribbean through at least Sat as a broad area of low pressure sets up. Numerous heavy showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall, frequent lightning at times and strong gusty winds are most likely to occur within this area of broad low pressure. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... Surface ridging extending from the Azores and the Bermuda High will persist across the forecast waters through Tue. This pattern will maintain mainly gentle to moderate winds north of 22N, and moderate to fresh winds south of 22N through most of the period. The remnants of a front will extend across northern Florida on Sat night supporting fresh to strong SW winds over Jacksonville adjacent waters. Fresh to strong winds are expected between Turks and Caicos and Hispaniola at night through Fri. Strong winds will resume over these waters by Mon evening. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... None. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... None. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... None. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster Aguirre. National Hurricane Center.