000 AGXX40 KNHC 021950 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 250 PM EST Sat Mar 2 2019 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas ...GULF OF MEXICO... As of 18Z this afternoon, a stationary front extends from near Pensacola, Florida to 29N91W and to just east of the Texas coast to just east of Corpus Christi. Scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly due to a weak upper-level trough are noted over the far NE Gulf north of about 29N and east of 88W. This activity is expected to move east of the Gulf this evening. Otherwise, high pressure from the Atlantic extends westward to across the eastern and central Gulf. The associated gradient will maintain light to moderate southeast winds across the Gulf through tonight. A strong cold front will enter the far NW Gulf early on Sun afternoon, reach from near Apalachicola, Florida to 26N92W and to near Veracruz late Sun night, from near Tampa Bay, Florida to 24N90W and to the SW Gulf early Mon afternoon, from near the Florida Keys to near 23N90W and to the eastern Bay of Campeche late Mon night, then slow down some as it pushes southeastward to the northwestern Caribbean Sea Wed. Very strong high pressure and the associated cold air mass that will follow in behind the front will lead to strong north to northeast winds and building seas over much of the forecast waters, with gale conditions possible over the waters near Veracruz Mexico Tue night. High pressure in the wake of the front will shift eastward Wed through Thu night allowing for return fresh southerly flow to develop over the western half of the Gulf as residual seas from the aforementioned front subside. Patches of dense fog are expected once again along the coastal plains from Texas to Alabama tonight into Sun. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... Fresh to strong trade winds will remain over the south central Caribbean through Thu night. Winds will freshen over the eastern Caribbean Mon night and Tue. Long period north swell will propagate through the tropical Atlantic waters and the Caribbean Passages through Sat. Long period east swell will propagate through the tropical Atlantic waters Sun night through Tue night, then subside on Wed. A cold front will enter the NW Caribbean Wed, and weaken as it reaches from eastern Cuba to Belize on Thu. Strong northeast winds will follow in behind this front, but diminish to mainly fresh winds on Thu. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... High pressure ridging along 27N will begin to shift east- southeast on Sun as a strong cold front moves across the southeastern United States. This cold front will move off the Georgia and NE Florida coast early on Mon, reach from near 31N72W to Vero Beach early on Tue, from southeast of Bermuda near 31N62W to near the Windward Passage by Wed evening and from near 25N65W to eastern Cuba Thu. Strong winds preceding and following the front will affect the waters to the north of 28N Tue night through Wed night. Winds diminish on Thu most zones, except for lingering fresh to locally strong northeast winds expected south of about 25N west of the front to near 77W. Seas of 8-10 ft in northwest swell are expected north of about 26N and east of 74W on Thu. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W... GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE S of 20N W of 95W Tue night into Wed. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... None. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... None. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster Aguirre. National Hurricane Center.