000 AGXX40 KNHC 151714 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1214 PM EST Fri Feb 15 2019 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas ...GULF OF MEXICO... A ridge will dominate the Gulf waters through early Sun, maintaining moderate SE return flow over the western Gulf. The next cold front will reach the NW Gulf of Mexico Sun and extend from the Florida Panhandle to near Tampico, Mexico by early Mon as broad low pres forms off Veracruz in the SW Gulf through Mon. The front will stall across the northern Gulf waters through Tue morning, then lift NW across the northern Gulf by late Tue as the low moves inland over NE Mexico and dissipates. The front will then attempt to push slightly eastward again by mid week. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... A decaying frontal system from near the Windward Passage to across central Jamaica to the SE coast of Nicaragua will dissipate through the afternoon. Moderate to fresh winds over the central and eastern Caribbean through Sat night will increase in the southern Caribbean by early Sun due to high pres building N of the area. Strong to near gale force winds are expected over the S central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras Sun night through Tue night, with gale conditions possible off Colombia Sun night and Mon night. NE to E swell over Atlantic waters E of the Windward and Leeward Islands will gradually subside through Sun. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... A complex frontal system extending from 31N65W to 27N70W to across the SE Bahamas and eastern Cuba will slowly push E of the area through Sat night. A new cold front will move across the waters N of 29N early Sun, pushing E of 65W by early Mon. Another cold front will move across the waters N of 29N Mon afternoon, pushing E of 65W by early Tue. Return flow under ridging will prevail Tue afternoon and night. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... None. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... .AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN... GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Sun night. GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE Mon night. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... None. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster Lewitsky. National Hurricane Center.