382 
AGXX40 KNHC 031739
MIMATS

Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
139 PM EDT Wed Oct 3 2018

Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

...GULF OF MEXICO...

A high pressure ridge extending SW from the NE United States to 
Texas will remain the dominant weather influence over the basin 
through the end of this week. A surface trough will develop by 
each evening over the Yucatan peninsula as a result of diurnal 
heating. The trough will move into the SW Gulf overnight, where 
it will dissipate each morning. Moderate to fresh winds will 
accompany the trough. 

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

A broad surface trough over the western Caribbean is expected to
develop into broad low pressure over this same area by the end
of the week. Large NNE swell generated from Leslie will continue
to funnel through the Atlantic passages into the Caribbean. 

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

Hurricane Leslie near 29.5N 56.8W 975 mb at 11 AM EDT moving N 
at 0 kt. Maximum sustained winds 70 kt gusts 85 kt. Leslie will 
move to 30.0N 56.9W this evening, 31.6N 56.8W Thu morning, 33.9N 
57.0W Thu evening, 35.6N 57.3W Fri morning, and 36.9N 56.3W Sat 
morning. Leslie will weaken to a tropical storm near 37.0N 54.0W 
early Sun, then change little in intensity as it moves to near 
36.7N 49.8W Mon. Leslie will start to lift northward today. Large
and powerful swell generated by Leslie will affect the forecast 
waters through the end of this week. A surface trough to the ESE 
of Leslie is enhancing SW winds which are generating seas of 8 to
9 ft from 27N to 30N between 38W and 42W. This area will 
diminish as it migrates E today and tonight.

$$

.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     None.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     None.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     None.

$$

*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

$$

.Forecaster McElroy. National Hurricane Center.