000 AGXX40 KNHC 130541 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 141 AM EDT Wed Sep 13 2017 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas. ...GULF OF MEXICO... A fairly weak pressure pattern left behind by Irma over the Gulf will result in mainly gentle to moderate winds and seas 1 to 3 ft the next several days. The only exception will be a thermal trough moving off the Yucatan Peninsula each night supporting locally fresh winds starting Thursday night with seas briefly reaching 4 to 5 ft over the eastern Bay of Campeche. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... Hurricane Jose is centered roughly 500 nm north of Puerto Rico early this morning. It is moving SE at 8 kt, with maximum sustained of 65 kt gusts to 80 kt. Jose is forecast to make a clockwise loop over the next few days to the north of the area before finally moving NW to N later this week. As the system makes its southern portion of the loop over the next few days, large swell is expected to propagate through the Atlantic zones north of 20N. Elsewhere, a tropical wave is moving across the central Caribbean and will reach the western Caribbean by Thursday. This wave will generally remain void of convection. Another tropical wave currently along 44W/45W will reach 55W Thursday, then the Lesser Antilles by Friday night, bringing with it an increase in shower and thunderstorm activity. Across the remainder of the Caribbean, a weak pressure pattern due to Jose to the north will result in mainly gentle to moderate winds through Thursday night. High pressure will begin to build north of the region by Friday which will increase trades slightly, and bring fresh easterlies along the northern coast of Colombia and Venezuela at night. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... Lingering swell over 8 ft near the coast of northern Florida and Georgia due to earlier winds from Irma will diminish through early this morning. Hurricane Jose, currently about 500 nm N of Puerto Rico, with maximum sustained winds of 65 kt gusts to 80 kt, will track in a clockwise loop during the next few days. It will reach near 25.3N 65.3W this evening, with maximum sustained winds 70 kt gusts to 85 kt, to near 25.6N 67.4W Thursday evening with maximum sustained winds 65 kt gusts to 80 kt, then turn NW and reach near 27.3N 70.3W Friday evening as it weakens to a Tropical Storm with maximum sustained winds 60 kt gusts to 75 kt, then turn N and reach near 30.0N 70.5W by Saturday evening with maximum sustained winds 60 kt gusts to 75 kt. Jose will be a swell generator through the rest of the week and into the weekend, with seas in excess of 8 ft in mixed swell dominating the waters E of the Bahamas SE to the waters just N and NE of Puerto Rico. The swell will be slow in subsiding over the weekend, and will linger across the northern zones into early next week after the system exits the region. Central Atlantic high pressure will build southwestward to the eastern portion of the basin in the wake of Jose later this week. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... None. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... None. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... Tropical Storm Warning early today into today. Tropical Storm Warning Thu into Thu night. .AMZ121...ATLANTIC FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... Hurricane Warning early today into Thu night. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster Latto. National Hurricane Center.