000 AGXX40 KNHC 080516 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 116 AM EDT Tue Aug 8 2017 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas. ...GULF OF MEXICO... A surface ridge will meander westward from the Florida Big Bend across the Northern Coastal Waters and Coastal Plains through Sat. A coastal trough will extend S from the Texas Coastal Bend to near Veracruz Mexico through early Wed morning. Tropical Storm Franklin will move NW across the Yucatan Peninsula this morning accompanied by large rainfall accumulations and tropical storm force winds with the center emerging into the eastern Bay of Campeche along 20N this afternoon. Franklin will strengthen to a minimal hurricane near 20.6N 95.2W at 2 PM on Wed, and move W and inland Mexico near 20.5N97W around sunrise on Thu. Winds will diminish to 20 kt or less, and seas will subside to less than 8 ft by sunrise on Fri. In the wake of Franklin a thermal trough will develop over the Yucatan Peninsula on Thu and Fri evenings, move slowly westward during the overnight hours, and dissipate over the SW Gulf by late each morning. Expect a fresh to locally strong NE-E-SE wind shift, and 3-5 ft seas, along this trough. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... Tropical Storm Franklin will track W-NW across the Yucatan Peninsula today with associated winds diminishing to 20 kt or less, and seas subsiding to less than 8 ft by this evening. Fresh trades are expected along the NW coast of Colombia this evening. Guidance is suggesting that stronger nocturnal winds will occur along the N coast of Venezuela and Colombia on Thu, Fri and Sat evenings. Fresh NE-E winds and seas to 7 ft will arrive along 55W this afternoon in association with a tropical wave that will pass through the Lesser Antilles early Wed, pass through the Central Caribbean on Thu and Fri, then slow somewhat as it continues through the w Caribbean during the upcoming weekend. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... A surface high currently near 31N69W will drift slowly E-NE passing near Bermuda on Wed night, and continue NE further away from the area on Thu and Fri with a ridge extending westward to NE Florida throughout the next 5 days. Light to locally moderate southerly flow is expected N of the ridge. Moderate to fresh E trades will continue across the tropical waters S of 23N today, then diminish across the Old Bahama Channel on Wed, but be re- enforced further to the E as a tropical wave reaches along 55W this afternoon, passes through the Virgin Islands on Wed and Thu, reaches the Atlc approach to Mona Passage on Thu night and Fri, and passes through the Atlc approach to the Windward Passage on Fri night and Sat. The northern extent of this wave will shift W through the Old Bahama Channel on Sat night through Sun night accompanied by a fresh NE-E-SE wind shift. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ017...W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W... Tropical Storm Warning Wed into Wed night. .GMZ019...CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 87W AND 94W... Tropical Storm Warning Wed. .GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W... Hurricane Warning Wed. Tropical Storm Warning Wed night. .GMZ025...E BAY OF CAMPECHE INCLUDING CAMPECHE BANK... Tropical Storm Warning today into Wed night. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... .AMZ011...CARIBBEAN N OF 18N W OF 85W INCLUDING YUCATAN BASIN... Tropical Storm Warning early today into today. .AMZ017...GULF OF HONDURAS... Tropical Storm Warning early today. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... None. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster Nelson. National Hurricane Center.