000 AGXX40 KNHC 111729 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1229 PM EST Sat Feb 11 2017 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: Global model consensus. High Confidence. High pressure prevails over the forecast waters. Latest satellite derived winds and seas along with ship...buoy...and CMAN data depict gentle to moderate return flow across the waters. Seas are in the 5-6 ft range over the southeast Gulf, 2-4 ft over the northeast Gulf, and 3-5 ft over the western Gulf. The high pressure ridge will prevail over the waters through Tuesday. The ridge will then retreat eastward enabling a cold front to move into the northwest waters late Tuesday/early Wednesday. This front will reach from the Florida panhandle to the Bay of Campeche Wednesday evening. Fresh to strong winds will prevail west of the front, with near gale winds over the far southwest Gulf Wednesday. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: Global model consensus. High Confidence. High pressure is centered north of the area. Latest satellite derived winds and seas along with ship...buoy...and CMAN data depict strong to near gale winds over the south central Caribbean, fresh to strong winds over the north central Caribbean, fresh winds over the eastern Caribbean, and moderate to fresh winds over the western Caribbean as well as the tropical north Atlantic waters. Seas are in the 8-12 ft range over the south central Caribbean, 6-8 ft over the north central Caribbean, 4-6 ft over the eastern Caribbean, 5-6 ft over the western Caribbean, and 6-8 ft over the tropical north Atlantic waters. High pressure north of the area will weaken over the next couple of days. This will bring a decrease winds and seas over the Caribbean waters, with winds and seas expected to fall below advisory criteria by late Tuesday. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: Global model consensus. High Confidence. High pressure prevails over the forecast area. A dissipating stationary front prevails over the southeast waters. Latest satellite derived winds and seas along with ship...buoy...and CMAN data depict fresh to strong winds over the southern waters and light to gentle winds over the northern waters. Seas are in the 8-10 ft range over the northeast waters, 4-7 ft over the northwest waters, 8-9 ft over the remainder of the forecast waters outside the Bahamas, and 1-3 ft west of the Bahamas. The front will dissipate by Sunday. A series of cold fronts will move across the northern waters through the forecast period. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... None. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... .AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN... Gale Warning today into tonight. Gale Warning Sun night. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... None. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster AL. National Hurricane Center.