000 AGXX40 KNHC 061937 MIMATS Marine Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 237 PM EST FRI JAN 6 2017 Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: Global model consensus. Medium-high confidence. A cold front extending from the central Florida Panhandle southwest to northeast Mexico will race southeast to a position from the Florida big bend to the western Bay of Campeche tonight and from the Straits of Florida to the eastern Bay of Campeche Saturday night. Fresh to strong northerly winds currently west of the front will increase to strong to near gale tonight. Winds will further increase to gale force in the southwest basin from early Saturday through Saturday night with building seas reaching a max of 17 ft. Winds and seas will gradually diminish and subside from the northwest to se beginning late Saturday. Northeast to east winds will finally diminish to a fresh breeze across the Florida Straits on Tuesday night as a ridge extends from North Carolina to the waters of the northwest basin. The southerly return flow will increase to a strong breeze across the northwest Gulf waters on Tuesday. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: Global model consensus. Medium-high confidence. High pressure building across the Atlantic and behind a strong cold front in the Gulf of Mexico will increase the pressure gradient in the central Caribbean Saturday morning, thus resulting in the areal expansion of fresh to strong winds in the south-central Caribbean to Hispaniola adjacent waters. A strong cold front will enter the northwest Caribbean Saturday night with strong to near gale north-northeast winds and 8-12 ft seas, spreading southeast across the Caribbean through Tuesday. The cold front will reach from eastern Cuba to Honduras Sunday evening, and stall roughly from eastern Dominican Republic to northeast Nicaragua Monday night. Fresh trades with seas to 8 ft expected across the Atlantic tropical waters through Sun. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: Global model consensus. Medium-high confidence. A strong cold front will move off the northeast Florida coast early Saturday morning, reach from 31N66W to north-central Cuba Sunday morning, and stall from 31N53W to eastern Dominican Republic Monday night. Strong to near gale force southerly winds will develop ahead of the front north of the Bahamas Saturday morning. Strong to near gale force westerly to northwesterly winds will follow the front N of the Bahamas through Saturday night. Late Saturday night, strong to near gale northerly winds will spread across the Bahamas and the Great Bahama bank, with the possibility of a gale warning for frequent gusts to gale force along the east Florida coast Sunday morning. Winds and seas will diminish and subside from the northwest to the southeast beginning Monday morning, but persist across the northeast and southern portions beyond Tuesday with seas to 15 ft reaching the southern Bahamas Monday night. $$ .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by telephone: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ017...W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W... Gale Warning tonight into Sat. .GMZ019...CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N BETWEEN 87W AND 94W... Gale Warning tonight into Sat. .GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W... Gale Warning tonight into Sat night. .GMZ025...E BAY OF CAMPECHE INCLUDING CAMPECHE BANK... Gale Warning Sat. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... None. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W... Gale Warning Sat. $$ *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php For additional information, please visit: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine $$ .Forecaster Ramos. National Hurricane Center.