000 AGXX40 KNHC 241905 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 205 PM EST THU NOV 24 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A WEAK FRONT STALLING OUT OVER THE NW GULF WILL BE ABSORBED ON FRIDAY BY ANOTHER COLD FRONT ENTERING THE NORTHERN GULF. THIS SECOND FRONT WILL MOVE SE AND EXTEND FROM CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH THE CENTRAL GULF TO THE SW GULF ON SATURDAY MORNING...THEN DISSIPATE FROM THE FLORIDA STRAITS TO THE SW GULF ON SUNDAY. RIDGING WILL BRIEFLY NOSE SOUTHWARD INLAND OVER MEXICO THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY BEHIND THE FRONT WHICH WILL INCREASE WINDS W OF 95W OVER THE SW GULF TO ABOUT 25 KT. THE HIGH WILL SHIFT QUICKLY EASTWARD WHICH WILL DIMINISH THE NW WINDS OVER THE SW GULF SATURDAY NIGHT. ON SUNDAY NIGHT THE HIGH WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES WITH A RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SW OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS RIDGE POSITIONING WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN RETURN FLOW OVER THE WESTERN GULF WITH WINDS BECOMING SE TO S AT 20 TO 25 KT SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. THESE STRONGER WINDS WILL EXPAND ACROSS THE ENTIRE GULF BASIN BY LATE MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. SEAS OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL INCREASE TO 8 TO 9 FT BY MONDAY EVENING. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. HURRICANE OTTO HAS MADE LANDFALL OVER SOUTHERN NICARAGUA THIS AFTERNOON. HURRICANE CONDITIONS AND SEAS TO 22 FT WITHIN 90 NM OF THE NICARAGUA COAST WILL RAPIDLY IMPROVE INTO THIS EVENING. BY 0000 UTC FRIDAY...WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DIMINISH TO UNDER 20 KT WITH SEAS 8 FT OR LESS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN WATERS. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES WILL CONTINUE OVER NICARAGUA AND NORTHERN COSTA RICA THROUGH TONIGHT. ELSEWHERE...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE CARIBBEAN WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A BROAD AREA OF 20 TO 30 KT WINDS NORTH OF 13N WEST OF THE MONA PASSAGE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. THE HIGH TO THE NORTH WILL WEAKEN ON SATURDAY WHICH WILL DIMINISH THESE WINDS TO UNDER 20 KT. HOWEVER...ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BUILD EAST OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES AND WESTERN ATLANTIC MONDAY WHICH WILL BRING A RETURN OF 20 TO 25 KT WINDS OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A COLD FRONT OVER THE SE WATERS WILL STALL OUT AND DISSIPATE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT CENTERED NEAR 32N72W WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS W OF THE FRONT S OF ABOUT 25-26N THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...BEFORE THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS. SEAS OF 8 TO 9 FT OUTSIDE OF THE BAHAMAS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY BEFORE SUBSIDING BELOW 8 FT. A NEW COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE NW WATERS ON SATURDAY AND MOVE SE...EXTENDING FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS SUNDAY MORNING...THEN CROSSING THE SE ZONES MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. ANOTHER STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT WITH STRONG NE WINDS EXPECTED WITHIN A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES NW OF THE FRONT AS IT CROSSES THE FORECAST WATERS SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THE STRONG WINDS WILL THEN EXPAND TO COVER THE ATLC WATERS S OF 27N W OF 65W ON MONDAY. MEANWHILE...STRONG NW WINDS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE SOUTHWARD OVER THE NE ZONES MONDAY BETWEEN THE HIGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES AND LOW PRESSURE OVER THE N CENTRAL ATLC. SEAS WILL INCREASE TO 8 TO 10 FT OVER THE NE ZONES BY TUESDAY NIGHT WITH THESE WINDS. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... .AMZ029...W CENTRAL CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N W OF 80W... HURRICANE WARNING TODAY. .AMZ039...SW CARIBBEAN S OF 11N INCLUDING APPROACHES TO PANAMA CANAL... HURRICANE WARNING TODAY. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER LATTO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.