000
AGXX40 KNHC 240714
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
214 AM EST THU NOV 24 2016

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER NORTHERN WATERS IS RETREATING EASTWARD.
A WEAKENING COLD FRONT IS ACROSS THE NW GULF FROM SOUTH-CENTRAL
LOUISIANA TO BROWNSVILLE TX. LATEST OBSERVATIONS SHOW LIGHT TO
GENTLE ANTICYCLONIC WINDS SE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...WITH SEAS
GENERALLY 2-4 FT OVER THE GULF WATERS. THE FRONT WILL STALL TODAY
AND A SECOND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN WATERS FRIDAY.
THIS FRONT WILL SLOWLY SHIFT SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
   
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HURRICANE OTTO IS SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD TOWARD NICARAGUA AND
COSTA RICA. SCATTEROMETER AND ALTIMETER DATA ALONG WITH AIRCRAFT
RECONNAISSANCE INDICATE THE CYCLONE HAS A VERY SMALL CORE OF HIGH
WINDS AND SEAS. LATEST OBSERVATIONS SHOW FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS
OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL AND NW CARIBBEAN WATERS. MODERATE TO FRESH
E WINDS ARE IN THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...WHILE GENTLE TO
MODERATE TRADE WINDS PREVAIL IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND TROPICAL
N ATLC WATERS. OUTSIDE OF OTTO...SEAS ARE 7-10 FT IN THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN...5-7 FT IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN... 3-5 FT OVER
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 5-6 FT IN TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS.
MARINE CONDITIONS OVER THE W CARIBBEAN WILL IMPROVE LATER TODAY AS
OTTO MOVES INLAND. HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA WILL WEAKEN
THIS WEEKEND...WITH WINDS AND SEAS DIMINISHING ACROSS MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRES RIDGE CENTERED NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST PREVAILS
OVER MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE
SE WATERS. LATEST OBSERVATIONS SHOW FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS OVER
THE WATERS SOUTH OF 22N AND WEST OF THE BOUNDARY...WITH GENTLE TO
MODERATE WINDS ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE 7-9 FT S OF 23N EAST OF THE
BAHAMAS...4-6 FT ELSEWHERE OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS...AND 1-3 FT W OF
THE BAHAMAS. THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE LATER TODAY...WITH HIGH
PRESSURE N OF THE AREA SHIFTING SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH SAT. A
COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE NW WATERS SAT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR
BERMUDA TO SOUTHERN FLORIDA BY SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
.AMZ029...W CENTRAL CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N W OF 80W...
     HURRICANE WARNING TODAY.
.AMZ039...SW CARIBBEAN S OF 11N INCLUDING APPROACHES TO PANAMA
CANAL...
     TROPICAL STORM WARNING TODAY.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.