000 AGXX40 KNHC 231704 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1204 PM EST WED NOV 23 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS IS RETREATING EASTWARD AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHED THE NW GULF OF MEXICO. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT MODERATE SE RETURN FLOW OVER THE NW GULF WITH LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAILING ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 4-6 FT RANGE OVER THE NW GULF AND 3-4 FT OVER THE REMAINING WATERS. THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO RETREAT EASTWARD ENABLING THE COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO THE NW GULF WATERS TONIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL STALL OVER THE NW WATERS THURSDAY. A SECOND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN WATERS FRIDAY. THIS FRONT WILL SLOWLY SHIFT SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. RECENTLY DOWNGRADED TROPICAL STORM OTTO IS SLOWLY MOVING THROUGH THE SW CARIBBEAN WATERS. OUTSIDE OF OTTO...LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN WATERS. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WHILE GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AS WELL AS THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 8-11 FT RANGE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN...5-7 FT OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...3-5 FT OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...AND 5-6 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS. TROPICAL STORM OTTO IS FORECAST TO RE-INTENSIFY TO HURRICANE STRENGTH BU THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE THE SYSTEM MOVES INLAND OVER SOUTHERN NICARAGUA. MARINE CONDITIONS OVER THE SOUTHWEST CARIBBEAN WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE THURSDAY AS OTTO MOVES INLAND. HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA WILL WEAKEN BY WEEKS END WITH WINDS AND SEAS DECREASING OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN THIS WEEKEND. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST WATERS WITH A DISSIPATING STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE SE WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT FRESH TO STRONG WINDS OVER THE WATERS SOUTH OF 22N AND WEST OF THE FRONT. GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS PREVAIL ELSEWHERE. SEAS ARE IN THE 7-9 FT RANGE SOUTH OF 23N AND EAST OF THE BAHAMAS...4-6 FT ELSEWHERE OUTSIDE THE BAHAMAS...AND 1-3 FT W OF THE BAHAMAS. THE STATIONARY FRONT WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILING THROUGH FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE NW WATERS SATURDAY. THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR BERMUDA TO SOUTHERN FLORIDA SUN AFTERNOON. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... .AMZ029...W CENTRAL CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N W OF 80W... TROPICAL STORM WARNING TONIGHT. HURRICANE WARNING THU. .AMZ039...SW CARIBBEAN S OF 11N INCLUDING APPROACHES TO PANAMA CANAL... TROPICAL STORM WARNING TONIGHT INTO THU. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.