000 AGXX40 KNHC 221931 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 231 PM EST TUE NOV 22 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE BASIN WILL SUPPORT GENTLE TO FRESH E TO SE WINDS OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE GULF WITH RETURN S TO SW WINDS OVER THE NW GULF THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE NW GULF LATE WEDNESDAY AS THE HIGH TO THE NORTH SHIFTS EASTWARD TO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THE FRONT WILL STALL OUT WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWARD THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. THE RESULTING WIND PATTERN WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WITH FRESH NE WINDS OVER THE SE GULF AND MODERATE WINDS OVER THE SW GULF WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE NORTHERN GULF FRIDAY AND MOVE SE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. TROPICAL STORM OTTO IS INTENSIFYING OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN AND WILL LIKELY BECOME A HURRICANE BY TONIGHT. THE STORM WILL DRIFT WESTWARD THE NEXT TWO DAYS BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL OVER CENTRAL AMERICA LATE THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE BASIN WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE A BROAD AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS N OF 15N FROM SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA WESTWARD TO NEAR 85W INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH SEAS REACHING 10 FT AT TIMES ALONG THE LONGER FETCHES OF THE STRONGER WINDS. SWELL OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN GENERATED BY OTTO DEPARTING THE BASIN THURSDAY NIGHT WILL DIMINISH FAIRLY QUICKLY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. ELSEWHERE...A STATIONARY FRONT FROM THE MONA PASSAGE TO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND LIKELY DISSIPATE TO A TROUGH THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A PAIR OF STATIONARY FRONTS COVER THE WESTERN ATLC. THE WESTERNMOST FROM 31N60W TO CENTRAL CUBA WILL DISSIPATE THROUGH TONIGHT. THE EASTERNMOST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N54W TO THE MONA PASSAGE WILL REMAIN IN TACT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...DISSIPATING BY THURSDAY NIGHT. A BROAD AREA OF NW SWELL 8 FT OR GREATER WILL LINGER W OF THE EASTERN FRONT N OF 29N THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MEANWHILE...HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTING EASTWARD OFF THE EASTERN UNITED STATES WILL INCREASE WINDS TO FRESH TO STRONG SOUTH OF 26N W OF THE EASTERN STATIONARY FRONT TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT OUTSIDE OF THE BAHAMAS. A COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE NW WATERS SATURDAY MORNING AND REACH FROM BERMUDA TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY SUNDAY. FRESH NE WINDS ARE EXPECTED NW OF THIS FRONT. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... .AMZ029...W CENTRAL CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N W OF 80W... TROPICAL STORM WARNING TONIGHT INTO WED. HURRICANE WARNING WED NIGHT INTO THU. .AMZ031...CARIBBEAN FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W INCLUDING COLOMBIA BASIN... TROPICAL STORM WARNING TODAY INTO WED. .AMZ039...SW CARIBBEAN S OF 11N INCLUDING APPROACHES TO PANAMA CANAL... TROPICAL STORM WARNING TODAY. HURRICANE WARNING TONIGHT INTO THU. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER LATTO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.