000 AGXX40 KNHC 181823 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 123 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. 1024 MB HIGH PRES CENTERED OVER GEORGIA WILL SHIFT EAST THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING INTO COASTAL TEXAS. THE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE FAR NW GULF BY EARLY EVENING. STRONG WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT AS IT SWEEPS ACROSS THE GULF THROUGH SUN NIGHT. WINDS WILL REACH GALE FORCE OFF THE COAST OF TAMAULIPAS BY EARLY SATURDAY...AND OFF VERACRUZ BY MID SATURDAY. IN ADDITION...FREQUENT GUSTS TO GALE FORCE ARE LIKELY OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS OFF SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT...AS COLDER AIR MIXES DOWN OVER THE RELATIVELY STILL WARM GULF WATERS. SEAS WILL BUILD AS HIGH AS 13 FT OFF VERACRUZ BY SAT NIGHT. WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE ACROSS THE BASIN STARTING SUN NIGHT AS HIGH PRES BUILDS W TO E OVER THE NORTHERN GULF. MODERATE TO FRESH SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL INCREASE OVER THE NW GULF STARTING EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE HIGH PRES SHIFTS EASTWARD. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT FROM HAITI TO EASTERN HONDURAS WILL START TO DISSIPATE SAT. HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA BUILDING BEHIND THE FRONT IS SUPPORTING STRONG WINDS IN THE LEE OF CUBA...THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...AND OFF CABO BEATA SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA. A REINFORCING MASS OF COOL AIR WILL BUILD N OF THE AREA SAT AND SUN WILL ENHANCE NE FLOW ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN AND THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE SUN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. STRONG WINDS WILL FILTER SOUTHWARD DOWN THE COAST OF NICARAGUA TO WESTERN PANAMA TO THE WEST OF A QUASI-STATIONARY 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR 11N82W. FARTHER EAST...MODERATE TRADES WILL PERSIST FROM THE TROPICAL N ATLC W OF 55W THROUGH THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. NORTHEAST SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE THROUGH THE WATERS N OF 29N E OF 70W RELATED TO DEEP LOW PRES CENTERED WELL N OF THE AREA. FARTHER SOUTH...MODERATE TO FRESH TRADES PERSIST FROM CAY SAL TO THE APPROACHES TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...SOUTH OF A RIDGE REACHING FROM NE FLORIDA TO 25N65W. THE RIDGE WILL SHIFT EAST THROUGH SAT AHEAD OF STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING OFF THE NE FLORIDA COAST LATE SAT. THE COLD FRONT WILL REACH FROM 31N72W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA BY EARLY SUN...AND FROM 31N63W TO CENTRAL CUBA EARLY MON. STRONG NW WINDS AND 8 TO 10 FT SEAS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT AND COVER THE AREA OFF NE FLORIDA AND N OF THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS THROUGH SUN...WITH RESULTANT SWELL TO 9 FT SHIFTING EAST ACROSS THE WATERS N OF 27N THROUGH MON. MODERATE TO FRESH NE WINDS WILL INCREASE S OF 22N BY TUE AS HIGH PRES BUILDS ALONG ROUGHLY 30N IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ011...NW GULF INCLUDING STETSON BANK... GALE WARNING TONIGHT INTO SAT. .GMZ017...W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W... GALE WARNING SAT. .GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W... GALE WARNING SAT INTO SUN. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.