000 AGXX40 KNHC 180826 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 209 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SE UNITED STATES WILL SUPPORT MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH E TO SE WINDS OVER THE GULF BASIN THROUGH FRI. A STRONG COLD FRONT ENTERING THE NW GULF FRI NIGHT WILL CROSS THE CENTRAL GULF SAT THEN EXTEND FROM FLORIDA STRAITS TO THE SW GULF SUN MORNING. STRONG NE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 9-10 FT IN THE NW GULF. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE NOSING SOUTHWARD OVER INLAND MEXICO AND LOWER PRESSURES OVER CENTRAL AMERICA WILL SUPPORT GALE FORCE WINDS BEGINNING EARLY SAT FROM 22N TO 25N W OF 95W WITHIN 90 NM OF THE MEXICO COAST...SPREADING SOUTHWARD TO 19N WITHIN 90 NM OF THE MEXICO COAST BY SAT EVENING. GALES N OF 22N SHOULD END BY SAT EVENING. GALES NEAR VERACRUZ MAY LAST THROUGH SUN MORNING. RECENT MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WINDS MAY PEAK NEAR 40 KT WITH MAX SEAS TO 12-13 FT THIS WEEKEND. WINDS WILL DIMINISH SUN AND MON AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EASTWARD ACROSS THE SE U.S. MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BASIN MON THROUGH WED. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO NORTHERN HONDURAS WILL DRIFT SE AND WEAKEN TODAY. FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS WILL CONTINUE N OF THE FRONT...MAINLY S OF CUBA AND THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL ENTER THE NW CARIBBEAN SUN AND MERGE WITH WHAT REMAINS OF THE STATIONARY FRONT. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN THROUGH WED. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING BEHIND THE COLD FRONT IN THE NW CARIBBEAN AND THIS LOW WILL SUPPORT A LARGE AREA OF FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS ROUGHLY FROM THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO COSTA RICA SUN THROUGH TUE. MODEL GUIDANCE ALSO SHOWS WIDESPREAD SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN BASIN THROUGH SAT NIGHT. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A COLD FRONT FROM 25N65W TO HISPANIOLA WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TO EXTEND FROM 22N65W TO 18N70W SAT. A STRONG COLD FRONT ENTERING THE AREA SAT NIGHT WILL EXTEND FROM 31N68W TO NORTHERN BAHAMAS SUN... FROM 27N65W TO SOUTHERN BAHAMAS MON...THEN BECOME STATIONARY FROM 26N65W TO THE TURKS AND CAICOS TUE. FRESH TO STRONG NW WINDS N OF THE FRONT SAT NIGHT AND SUN WILL VEER NE AND DIMINISH MON THEN STRENGTHEN S OF 27N TUE AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS N OF THE AREA. EXPECT SEAS BUILDING TO 8-9 FT N AND E OF THE BAHAMAS BEHIND THE FRONT SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ017...W CENTRAL GULF FROM 22N TO 26N W OF 94W... GALE WARNING SAT. .GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W... GALE WARNING SAT INTO SAT NIGHT. GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE SAT NIGHT INTO SUN. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.