000 AGXX40 KNHC 141724 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1224 PM EST MON NOV 14 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. A COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE NE GULF. THIS FRONT IS FORECAST TO MERGE WITH A STATIONARY FRONT WHICH EXTENDS FROM NW OF THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO THE CENTRAL GULF NEAR 23N92W TO 1013 MB LOW PRES IN THE SW GULF NEAR 19N93W TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUE. MINIMAL NW-N GALE FORCE WINDS THAT WERE OCCURRING OFFSHORE OF VERACRUZ HAVE DIMINISHED AND WILL DIMINISH TO 20 KT OR LESS BY TUE NIGHT AS THE LOW PRES DISSIPATES AND AS THE MERGED FRONT PUSHES SE OF THE AREA. ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW GULF TUE NIGHT...STALLING AND DISSIPATING WED. HIGH PRES OVER THE CAROLINAS WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE BASIN FOR THE END OF THE WEEK ALLOWING FOR MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH E-SE FLOW TO PREVAIL. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE FAR NW GULF LATE FRI NIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL QUICKLY MOVE ACROSS THE GULF THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND WITH FRESH TO NEAR GALE FORCE NORTHERLY FLOW BEHIND IT AND BUILDING SEAS. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. BROAD LOW PRES TROUGHING CONTINUES TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN BETWEEN 80W AND 82W. THIS SURFACE FEATURE COMBINED WITH UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE CONTINUES TO SUPPORT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED TSTMS S OF 19N BETWEEN 74W AND 85W. MAINLY MODERATE TRADES PREVAIL ACROSS THE BASIN. A COLD FRONT WILL SLIP SE OF THE YUCATAN CHANNEL INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN TUE NIGHT... GRADUALLY STALLING OUT FROM CENTRAL CUBA TO HONDURAS THROUGH THU. HIGH PRES WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT HELPING TO INCREASE WINDS TO FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG BEHIND THE BOUNDARY FOR THE END OF THE WEEK. BROAD LOW PRES MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE PERSISTENT TROUGHING IN THE SW CARIBBEAN BY THE END OF THE WEEK INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS WELL. MEANWHILE...A SURFACE TROUGH WHICH HAS THE CHARACTERISTICS OF A LATE SEASON TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE TROPICAL N ATLC TODAY...MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN ISLANDS THROUGH MID- WEEK. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. A COLD FRONT IN THE NW WATERS FROM 31N77W APPROACHING THE NW BAHAMAS WILL REACH FROM 31N73W TO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA BY TUE MORNING....FROM 31N69W TO THE SE BAHAMAS BY WED MORNING...FROM BERMUDA TO THE TURKS AND CAICOS BY THU MORNING...MOVING E OF THE AREA FRI INTO SAT. HIGH PRES OVER THE CAROLINAS WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT INCREASING WINDS TO FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG BY THE END OF THE WEEK ALONG WITH BUILDING SEAS. LOW PRES MAY DEVELOP ALONG THIS FRONT FRI NIGHT...POSSIBLY RETROGRADING BACK TO THE NW SAT TOWARD BERMUDA. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE OFF THE SE U.S. INTO THE NW PORTION OF THE BASIN LATE SAT NIGHT INTO SUN...EVENTUALLY MERGING WITH THE OLD BOUNDARY AND SENDING THE LOW OFF TO THE NE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.