000 AGXX40 KNHC 131724 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1224 PM EST SUN NOV 13 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. A STATIONARY FRONT LINGERS IN THE SW GULF REACHING FROM THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO THE CENTRAL GULF NEAR 23.5N90W TO 1014 MB LOW PRES IN THE SW GULF NEAR 20.5N94W. GALE FORCE NW-N FLOW OFFSHORE OF VERACRUZ IS FORECAST TO DIMINISH BELOW GALE FORCE BY EARLY EVENING...WITH FRESH TO STRONG NW-N FLOW THEN PERSISTING THROUGH EARLY TUE MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING FURTHER. MEANWHILE HE TAIL END OF A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDS FROM NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO THE FAR NE GULF. THIS FRONT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO SEEP S AS A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK...EVENTUALLY MERGING WITH THE OLD STATIONARY FRONT...AND PUSHING SE OF THE BASIN BY THU AS HIGH PRES BUILDS IN FROM THE N. SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW WILL THEN BEGIN TO DOMINATE THE ENTIRE WATERS BY THE END OF THE WEEK AS THE HIGH PRES SHIFTS TO OVER THE CAROLINAS. THE NEXT COLD FRONT LOOKS TO APPROACH THE FAR NW WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEKEND. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. A NEAR STATIONARY TROUGH IS OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN ALONG 80W WITH ACTIVE CONVECTION PERSISTING S OF 18N BETWEEN 70W AND 84W. NE FLOW IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO FRESH TO STRONG ACROSS THE APPROACH TO THE WINDWARD PASSAGE THIS EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING LATE TONIGHT. OTHERWISE MAINLY MODERATE TRADES AND SEAS OF 2-4 FT PREVAIL ACROSS THE BASIN. FAIRLY TRANQUIL MARINE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TUE NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN WED... STALLING FROM NEAR THE WINDWARD PASSAGE TO THE GULF OF HONDURAS THU THROUGH FRI. BROAD LOW PRES MAY DEVELOP IN THE SW CARIBBEAN BY MID-WEEK WHERE IT WILL LINGER THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM 31N56W TO 28.5N68W WHERE IT CONTINUES AS A STATIONARY FRONT THROUGH 30N77W TO 28N80.5W. ANOTHER OLD COLD FRONT IS LOCATED TO THE SE...REACHING FROM 24N50W TO 22N60W WHERE IT CONTINUES AS A WEAKENING STATIONARY FRONT TO THE N COAST OF HISPANIOLA. A BROAD RIDGE PREVAILS BETWEEN THESE TWO WEAK AND SLOW MOVING BOUNDARIES. BOTH BOUNDARIES ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND BECOME DIFFUSE THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK. MEANWHILE A COASTAL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE CAROLINAS TO JUST OFFSHORE OF NE FLORIDA. THIS BOUNDARY WILL LINGER THROUGH TONIGHT WITH LOW PRES DEVELOPING ALONG IT. THE LOW WILL DRAG A NEW COLD FRONT INTO THE NW WATERS MON...REACHING FROM 31N75W TO S FLORIDA BY TUE MORNING...FROM 31N69W TO THE SE BAHAMAS BY WED MORNING...FROM BERMUDA TO THE TURKS AND CAICOS BY THU MORNING...THEN STALLING FROM 25N65W TO NEAR THE WINDWARD PASSAGE BY WED MORNING AS HIGH PRES BEHIND THE FRONT STRENGTHENS. AS THE HIGH STRENGTHENS...EXPECT NE FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT TO INCREASE TO FRESH TO STRONG ACROSS THE WATERS S OF 27N BY THE END OF THE WEEK. THESE CONDITIONS WILL THEN LIKELY PERSIST INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEKEND. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... .GMZ023...SW GULF S OF 22N W OF 94W... GALE WARNING TODAY. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.