000
AGXX40 KNHC 060631
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
131 AM EST SUN NOV 6 2016

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A WEAKENING COLD FRONT OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL MOVE S AND
DISSIPATE OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA THIS MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING BEHIND THE FRONT WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG EASTERLY
WINDS MAINLY E OF 88W TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. A SURFACE TROUGH
WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE COASTS OF NE TEXAS AND SW LOUISIANA TONIGHT
AND DRIFT E-SE ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST INTO THE NORTH-CENTRAL
GULF THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THEN DISSIPATE NW OF CUBA ON
THURSDAY. AN UPPER TROUGH INLAND OVER THE S CENTRAL UNITED STATES
WILL ENHANCE SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS THE NW GULF TONIGHT THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. 
   
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. 

A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WILL WEAKEN
THROUGH TODAY. DIVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OVER
THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL ENHANCE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING N OF THE REGION WILL SUPPORT FRESH
TO LOCALLY STRONG NE WINDS IN THE NORTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...MAINLY
N OF 18N...STARTING MONDAY NIGHT. MAINLY GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS
WILL PREVAIL ELSEWHERE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. 

A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM S OF BERMUDA TO THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL
PUSH SLOWLY SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS THROUGH
MONDAY...THEN BECOME STATIONARY AND WEAKEN FROM NEAR 24N59W TO
NORTH OF HISPANIOLA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. FRESH TO STRONG NE
WINDS WILL PREVAIL N OF THE FRONT THROUGH MONDAY...WITH SEAS OF 8
TO 9 FT CONTINUING N AND E OF THE BAHAMAS THROUGH
TONIGHT. ON MONDAY...A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO SWEEP
ACROSS THE REGION E OF 75W...WITH FRESH TO STRONG N TO NW WINDS
BEHIND THE FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL BUILD SEAS TO 8 TO 12 FT OVER
THE NE ZONES MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THIS
SECOND FRONT WILL INCREASE NE WINDS SW OF THE BAHAMAS...INCLUDING
THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...TO 20 TO 25 KT LATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER LATTO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.