000 AGXX40 KNHC 050643 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 243 AM EDT SAT NOV 5 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A WEAK COLD FRONT OVER NE GULF THIS MORNING WILL MOVE S AND ENTER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TONIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING BEHIND THE FRONT WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG EAST WINDS MAINLY EAST OF 87W SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE. AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES AND DEVELOPING SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE TEXAS AND LOUISIANA COASTS WILL SUPPORT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NW GULF SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE SW GULF WILL SUPPORT SHOWERS OVER THIS AREA UNTIL THE TROUGH DISSIPATES LATE SUNDAY. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WILL WEAKEN THROUGH TODAY. AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WILL SUPPORT ENHANCED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING N OF THE REGION WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO LOCALLY STRONG NE WINDS OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN BEGINNING TUESDAY. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. A COLD FRONT CROSSING THE NW WATERS WILL REACH FROM JUST EAST OF BERMUDA TO THE FLORIDA STRAITS TONIGHT...THEN STALL OUT FROM 30N57W TO NEAR HISPANIOLA BY MONDAY NIGHT. STRONG NE WINDS WILL PREVAIL N OF THE FRONT OVER THE WEEKEND WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 8 TO 11 FT TODAY N AND E OF THE BAHAMAS. SEAS WILL REMAIN ABOUT 8 TO 9 FT N AND E OF THE BAHAMAS TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. A RE- REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL CROSS OUR NE ZONES MONDAY WITH FRESH TO STRONG WINDS BEHIND THIS FRONT. THE WINDS BEHIND THIS FRONT WILL BUILD SEAS TO 8 TO 12 OVER OUR NE ZONES MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THIS SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE WINDS OVER AND SW OF THE BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TO FRESH TO STRONG MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. $$ .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... NONE. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER LATTO. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.