000
AGXX40 KNHC 041750
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
150 PM EDT FRI NOV 4 2016

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A WEAK COLD FRONT REACHING THE NE GULF THIS EVENING WILL STALL
AND DISSIPATE ACROSS THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA EARLY SUN. STRONG
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING BEHIND THE FRONT WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO
STRONG E WINDS E OF 87W SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE. MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS A SURFACE TROUGH MAY FORM ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST MON
NIGHT THEN DRIFT EASTWARD THROUGH WED.
   
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. 

WIDEPSREAD SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED E OF A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING SW
FROM PUERTO RICO TO NORTHERN COLOMBIA TONIGHT AND SAT. THE TROUGH
WILL MEANDER ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH MON. HIGH PRES
BUILDING N OF THE AREA WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS N OF
18N IN THE CARIBBEAN...INCLUDING THE WINDWARD PASSAGE...MON NIGHT
THROUGH WED.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. 

A COLD FRONT MOVING OFF THE NE COAST OF FLORIDA THIS EVENING WILL
EXTEND FROM BERMUDA TO THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS SAT...FROM 2965W TO
THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS SUNDAY...FROM 24N65W TO THE SOUTHERN BAHAMAS
MON...THEN BECOME STATIONARY AND WEAKEN ALONG 22N TUE AND WED.
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING N OF 30N BEHIND THE FRONT THIS
WEEKEND WILL SUPPORT FRESH TO STRONG NE WINDS N OF THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THROUGH TUE. WINDS WILL DIMINISH WED AS THE FRONT WEAKENS
AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES.

$$

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
     NONE.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.