000
AGXX40 KNHC 131741
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
141 PM EDT THU OCT 13 2016

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN
SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND
64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS.

...GULF OF MEXICO...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS NORTH OF THE AREA. LATEST SATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA
DEPICT MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE SE GULF...LIGHT TO GENTLE
WINDS OVER THE SW GULF...AND GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 5-6 FT RANGE OVER
THE SE GULF...2-3 FT OVER THE SW GULF...AND 3-5 FT OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF WATERS. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN WATERS THIS WEEKEND. OTHERWISE...
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO BE INFLUENCED BY HIGH PRESSURE N OF
THE AREA.

...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WHILE A
BROAD TROUGH PREVAILS OVER THE WESTERN WATERS. LATEST SATELLITE
DERIVED WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA
DEPICT GENTLE TO MODERATE WINDS OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
AND LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 3-5 FT RANGE OVER THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN...2-4 FT OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...1-3 FT OVER THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...AND 4-6 FT OVER THE TROPICAL N ATLC WATERS.
THE TROPICAL WAVE WILL REACH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TONIGHT AND
THEN MERGE INTO BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE SW CARIBBEAN
THIS WEEKEND.

...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

HURRICANE NICOLE HAS MOVED N OF 31N. LATEST SATELLITE DERIVED
WINDS AND SEAS ALONG WITH SHIP...BUOY...AND CMAN DATA DEPICT
MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OVER THE FAR NE WATERS...WITH
MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS OUTSIDE THE
CIRCULATION OF NICOLE. LIGHT TO GENTLE WINDS PREVAIL OVER THE FAR
SOUTHERN WATERS. SEAS ARE IN THE 10-18 FT RANGE OVER THE NE
WATERS AND 6-10 FT OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE WATERS OUTSIDE THE
BAHAMAS. SEAS IN THE 1-2 FT RANGE PREVAIL WEST OF THE BAHAMAS.
WINDS AND SEAS WILL DECREASE THROUGH SAT AS NICOLE MOVES AWAY FROM
THE AREA. A SET OF LARGE NE SWELL GENERATED BY AN EXPANDING WIND
FIELD OF NICOLE AS IT UNDERGOES EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WILL
REACH THE NE WATERS LATE SUN INTO MON.

.WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE
COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE:

.GULF OF MEXICO...
     NONE.

.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
     NONE.

.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
.AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W...
     TROPICAL STORM WARNING TODAY.

$$

*FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF

NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE
NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT:
HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT:
HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE

$$

.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.