000 AGXX40 KNHC 120625 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 225 AM EDT WED OCT 12 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. HIGH PRES N OF THE AREA WILL SUPPORT MODERATE TO FRESH NE WINDS OVER CNTRL AND ERN PORTIONS OF THE BASIN THOUGH SAT. A SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE WRN GULF WILL SLOWLY MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE COASTS OF TEXAS AND MEXICO TONIGHT. ANOTHER WEAK SURFACE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN WATERS THIS WEEKEND. SEAS WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION THROUGH FRI. BENIGN MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY THIS WEEKEND AS WEAK HIGH PRES RIDGE SETTLES ACROSS THE NORTHERN WATERS. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. HURRICANE NICOLE N OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN A WEAK PRES PATTERN ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH FRI. A SURFACE TROUGH IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WILL DRIFT WESTWARD INTO THE WRN CARIBBEAN WED NIGHT INTO THU THEN LINGER THERE FOR SEVERAL DAYS...WITH POSSIBLE LOW PRES FORMING ALONG IT LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD SUN OR MON. A TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE E CARIBBEAN TONIGHT THROUGH FRI...AND THROUGH THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THIS WEEKEND. THIS WAVE MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY SCATTERED SHOWERS...AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. HURRICANE NICOLE NEARLY STATIONARY IN NE WATERS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD THROUGH LATE TONIGHT THEN ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD AND RECURVE N OF 30N ON THU. BUOY AND ALTIMETER DATA CONTINUES TO SHOW A VERY LARGE AREA OF 10 TO 18 FT SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH A TIGHT GRADIENT N AND NW OF NICOLE. THE LARGE SWELL WILL BE THE PRIMARY MARINE HAZARD IMPACTING NEARLY THE ENTIRE BASIN N AND NE OF THE BAHAMAS THROUGH FRI. WINDS AND SEAS WILL SUBSIDE THIS WEEKEND AS NICOLE MOVES AWAY AND TRANSITIONS TO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... HURRICANE WARNING EARLY TODAY INTO THU. .AMZ121...ATLANTIC FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... TROPICAL STORM WARNING EARLY TODAY. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.