000 AGXX40 KNHC 080753 MIMATS MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 353 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W...AND THE SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS. ...GULF OF MEXICO... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. FRESH W TO NW WINDS OVER THE NE GULF WILL DIMINISH THIS MORNING AS MATTHEW MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA. A COLD FRONT OVER TEXAS WILL SWEEP SE OVER THE NW AND CENTRAL GULF TODAY...THEN EXTEND FROM S FLORIDA TO THE EASTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE BY SUN. FRESH N TO NE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE BASIN NW OF THE FRONT. STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE SW GULF NEAR VERACRUZ SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE TRADE WIND PATTERN OVER THE CARIBBEAN WILL BE DISRUPTED FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS UNTIL THE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE WESTERN ATLC EXIT THE AREA. MODERATE TRADES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN THROUGH SUN. A TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE E CARIBBEAN WILL MOVE SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO ON SAT...THEN SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA INTO THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN THROUGH SUN. ENHANCED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL ACCOMPANY THIS WAVE. AN EARLY SEASON COLD FRONT MAY PUSH THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL INTO THE NW CARIBBEAN MON. ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... MODEL PREFERENCE: GLOBAL MODEL CONSENSUS. LOW CONFIDENCE. THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH AWAY FROM THE FORECAST AREA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ON THE PERIPHERY OF MATTHEW ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY IN ZONE AMZ111. LARGE SEAS AND FRESH TO STRONG WINDS WILL PREVAIL OVER WATERS NORTH OF THE BAHAMAS THROUGH SUNDAY. FURTHER EAST...TROPICAL STORM NICOLE IS MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH UNDER STRONG NORTHERLY SHEAR. A COMPLEX INTERACTION BETWEEN THESE TWO TROPICAL CYCLONES IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS RESULTING A LARGE AREA OF HIGH WINDS AND LARGE SEAS OVER NORTHERN WATERS...BUT CONFIDENCE IN THE TRACKS OF MATTHEW AND NICOLE IS VERY LOW AFTER TONIGHT. A WEAKENED REMNANT OF MATTHEW IS FORECAST TO CURVE SE AND BACK TOWARD FLORIDA EARLY NEXT WEEK...RESULTING IN A CONTINUATION OF LARGE SWELL N OF THE BAHAMAS. NICOLE WILL MEANDER ALONG OR JUST EAST OF ZONES AMZ115 AND AMZ121. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE NW WATERS BY SUNDAY WHICH WILL REINFORCE LARGE SEAS ACROSS NORTHERN WATERS. .WARNINGS...ANY CHANGES IMPACTING COASTAL NWS OFFICES WILL BE COORDINATED THROUGH AWIPS II COLLABORATION CHAT OR BY TELEPHONE: .GULF OF MEXICO... NONE. .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN 55W AND 64W... NONE. .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS... .AMZ111...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N W OF 77W... TROPICAL STORM WARNING EARLY TODAY. .AMZ113...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 77W... TROPICAL STORM WARNING SUN NIGHT. .AMZ115...ATLANTIC FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... TROPICAL STORM WARNING EARLY TODAY. TROPICAL STORM WARNING SUN NIGHT. .AMZ121...ATLANTIC FROM 22N TO 27N BETWEEN 65W AND 70W... TROPICAL STORM WARNING EARLY TODAY INTO SUN NIGHT. $$ *FOR DETAILED ZONE DESCRIPTIONS PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/ABOUTTAFBPROD.SHTML#OWF NOTE: GRIDDED MARINE FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE IN THE NATIONAL DIGITAL FORECAST DATABASE (NDFD) AT: HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/MARINE/GRIDS.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT: HTTP://WWW.HURRICANE WARNINGS.GOV/MARINE $$ .FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.